College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5e5f63d708c16681f9e17403c5a4a3ae994b7bf0a9e8f818f297f7e18562e74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7189…b454backed Texas | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Georgia | 48c | 12,850$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,682.07 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Georgia | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas | 50c | 5,430$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.72 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Georgia | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texas | 52c | 1,789$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.17 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…bb41backed Georgia | 51c | 1,242$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Georgia | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…bc9bbacked Georgia | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Georgia | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Georgia | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Georgia | 51c | 301.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Georgia | 48c | 237.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Georgia | 49c | 221.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Georgia | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Georgia | 44c | 67.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Texas | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…0adebacked Georgia | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Georgia | 48c | 48.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Georgia | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Georgia | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas | 50c | 26.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Georgia | 48c | 25.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-4.5)this page
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-5.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-6.5)Georgia won
- Texas vs. GeorgiaGeorgia won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 46.5Under won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 48.5Under won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.