College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa82ffba7d3efe8f8c79bcd56242ae591cc0b44bff31c23272e9531e957f96a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Texas | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texas | 56c | 810.44$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia | 44c | 767.71$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.92 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas | 53c | 495.62$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Georgia | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Georgia | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Georgia | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Georgia | 51c | 61.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Georgia | 47c | 53.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Georgia | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Georgia | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…0908backed Georgia | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…b4cdbacked Georgia | 55c | 18.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-5.5)this page
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-4.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-6.5)Georgia won
- Texas vs. GeorgiaGeorgia won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 46.5Under won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 48.5Under won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.