College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6484315dcbd5cecf862381719cd841e9882abfe8ab2c95b8daf55565976e25f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texas | 52c | 34,482$18,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,025.69 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Georgia | 48c | 24,511$11,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,735.14 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Texas | 51c | 18,466$9,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,487.66 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia | 44c | 14,909$6,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,278.11 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia | 47c | 11,880$5,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.1 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Texas | 59c | 5,412$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Georgia | 48c | 4,990$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.8 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia | 49c | 4,396$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia | 49c | 4,255$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.05 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Georgia | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c392backed Georgia | 46c | 2,466$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Georgia | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas | 56c | 1,403$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.58 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Georgia | 49c | 1,203$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.57 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Georgia | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Texas | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Texas | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Texas | 56c | 715$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Texas | 56c | 572.77$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.74 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Texas | 53c | 571.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Georgia | 47c | 442.73$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas | 52c | 434.37$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.74 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Georgia | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Georgia | 45c | 395.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.79 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Texas | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Georgia | 49c | 364$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Texas | 51c | 313.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Georgia | 44c | 286.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…df79backed Texas | 56c | 239.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…5348backed Georgia | 43c | 211.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Texas | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texas | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Georgia | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Georgia | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Georgia | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Georgia | 47c | 141.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Texas | 53c | 141.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Georgia | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Georgia | 43c | 115.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Georgia | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Georgia | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Georgia | 49c | 102.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Texas | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Georgia | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Texas | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Texas | 53c | 86.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Georgia | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Georgia | 44c | 62.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Georgia | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgia | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia | 41c | 44.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Georgia | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Georgia | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Georgia | 48c | 39.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Texas | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6baebacked Texas | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Georgia | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Georgia | 44c | 27.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Texas | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Texas | 55c | 20.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Texas | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Texas | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Texas | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…e82abacked Texas | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-6.5)this page
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-4.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-5.5)Georgia won
- Texas vs. GeorgiaGeorgia won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 46.5Under won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 48.5Under won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.