College Football · resolved market
Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c8edd53c36d8b9361e093bc81f14342da73c98c3b017ceb7bc74d482770d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 51c | 176,019$90,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,444.91 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 159,526$77,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,904.3 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 48c | 4,209$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.68 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under | 49c | 1,040$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 942.12$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 900.9$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.47 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 711$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.72 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Under | 53c | 447.17$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 246$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Over | 50c | 165.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 48c | 141.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 132.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Under | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 47c | 37.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…65efbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…9328backed Under | 53c | 32.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5this page
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-4.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-5.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-6.5)Georgia won
- Texas vs. GeorgiaGeorgia won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 46.5Under won
- Texas vs. Georgia: O/U 48.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.