NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad2e14aeb98bcfcad95cda15dd8281a83fa5c38e0f2c271cca3036bc0b1b624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 52c | 16,424$8,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,540.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 13,101$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,677.69 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…60a4backed Under | 51c | 11,131$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…bcb6backed Over | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 9,900$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 51c | 6,243$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,436$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.61 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 52c | 4,760$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 2,160$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.2 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 1,408$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.01 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 51c | 1,381$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…c62dbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 799.98$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 54c | 555.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Under | 44c | 539.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 29c | 472.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 20c | 426.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Under | 49c | 405.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 401$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 39c | 385.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 264$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Over | 51c | 235.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 71c | 226.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Over | 37c | 215.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…22c1backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…9b74backed Over | 50c | 158.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 152.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 51c | 138.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…d35bbacked Under | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 61c | 100.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…c4adbacked Over | 52c | 80.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Under | 53c | 72.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 71.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46c…b702backed Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…5c68backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 46cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 52c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…5eaabacked Over | 57c | 52.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.8wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 53c | 51.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…0adebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…501fbacked Over | 51c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…5057backed Over | 55c | 35.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 46c | 32.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 50c | 25.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-3.5)Vikings won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-4.5)Vikings won
- Lions Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Lions vs. VikingsVikings won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.