NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a2cbc91b0ec343b2f4c2049f9e104ead1852ad8e8b61cbbe616ff23e53de75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $655,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 51c | 188,306$95,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,175.98 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Under | 48c | 150,000$71,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,199.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 53c | 127,020$66,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,810.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Over | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 77,093$38,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,592 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Under | 48c | 55,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,599.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 49,461$23,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,559.69 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 49c | 33,000$16,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,929.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 49c | 27,996$13,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,358.06 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 27,940$13,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,063.22 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Over | 54c | 12,854$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 10,543$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.86 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 10,520$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.59 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 47c | 5,818$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 4,682$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.02 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 3,370$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 54c | 3,084$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 2,132$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 50c | 1,663$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.93 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,287$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.37 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 51c | 1,263$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.53 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…00cdbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 53c | 1,037$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.43 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…80b9backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Over | 51c | 881.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Over | 52c | 838.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.44 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 819.95$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.57 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 51c | 803.45$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Over | 52c | 728.88$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 690.03$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.13 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 630$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Over | 50c | 605.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Over | 51c | 588.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 580$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Over | 51c | 485.49$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 51c | 470.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 46c | 337.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Over | 40c | 219.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Under | 51c | 206.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Over | 51c | 191.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 53c | 190.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Over | 51c | 188.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Over | 51c | 185.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…823cbacked Over | 51c | 185.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked Over | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…042fbacked Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 48c | 165.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 53c | 139$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Over | 51c | 134$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-3.5)Vikings won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-4.5)Vikings won
- Lions Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Lions vs. VikingsVikings won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.