NFL · resolved market

Spread: Lions (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53484f9613d2c702d09f485e1bf7a62daeb5db622138550ed2bc086994d0b0ab

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Vikingsof Lions, Vikings
Resolved: Dec 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,087 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Vikings	40c	7,859$3,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,696.25	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Lions	59c	4,426$2,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,611.15	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Lions	53c	1,794$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.62	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Vikings	41c	1,700$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Vikings	47c	1,394$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.62	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings	52c	1,056$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.89	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Lions	56c	1,005$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562	290	59.7%173 W · 117 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Lions	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Vikings	50c	848.48$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.24	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vikings	46c	826.11$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.1	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Lions	54c	800$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Vikings	39c	799.96$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.98	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lions	57c	699.99$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Lions	61c	655.74$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vikings	39c	587.41$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.67	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Lions	59c	585.37$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.37	155	55.5%86 W · 69 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Vikings	47c	578.95$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.84	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lions	51c	562.24$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.47	356	48%171 W · 185 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Lions	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa511…18a3backed Lions	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Lions	60c	438.33$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-7.8wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-34%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Lions	61c	420$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	131	45.8%60 W · 71 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Lions	50c	419$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.31	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Vikings	38c	415.76$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.77	276	33.3%92 W · 184 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Lions	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Lions	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	193	61.7%119 W · 74 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lions	61c	329$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.69	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Lions	54c	320.68$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.17	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bbb…b176backed Lions	60c	312.65$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.59	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Vikings	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	594	53.7%319 W · 275 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Lions	62c	290$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.8	268	57.1%153 W · 115 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Lions	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Lions	56c	238.42$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.5	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ef2…61d1backed Lions	56c	212.52$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.66	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x493c…f027backed Lions	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.6wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Lions	61c	165.11$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.72	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…454abacked Lions	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617a…07f8backed Lions	61c	163.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.44per pick	58cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05d7…22c1backed Lions	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+6.7wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Vikings	40c	145.82$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.49	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+15.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Vikings	40c	145.8$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.48	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+9.7wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Lions	53c	141.51$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Lions	63c	130$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Vikings	45c	119.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	116	58.6%68 W · 48 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Vikings	42c	118.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.6	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829b…0473backed Lions	60c	116.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f2…7364backed Lions	60c	116$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Vikings	40c	113$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.8	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Lions	61c	111.48$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	196	38.8%76 W · 120 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Vikings	40c	103$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.8	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Vikings	41c	101$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.59	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Lions	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Vikings	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Vikings	46c	95.95$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.81	118	56.8%67 W · 51 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Lions	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Vikings	43c	92.06$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.51	346	52.9%183 W · 163 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Vikings	41c	90$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.1	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b3…14ecbacked Lions	59c	84.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…35cbbacked Lions	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Vikings	40c	73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Vikings	41c	71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.89	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Vikings	40c	63$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Lions	58c	60.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Vikings	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	124	59.7%74 W · 50 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Vikings	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	105	65.7%69 W · 36 L	+16.6wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Vikings	41c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Lions	60c	60$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+10.7wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Vikings	46c	59.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+12.0wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lions	56c	58.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Vikings	44c	57.69$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.18per pick	36cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Lions	53c	56.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	220	53.2%117 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Vikings	41c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Lions	54c	48.15$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+6.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Vikings	41c	47$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.73	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Lions	62c	45.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Vikings	41c	43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.37	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Lions	59c	41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Lions	60c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Lions	61c	37.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3620…2e6cbacked Lions	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Lions	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Lions	60c	33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Lions	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Lions	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Vikings	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Lions	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Lions	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Lions	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Lions	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Lions	59c	28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Lions	59c	28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Lions	59c	28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Lions	60c	27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Lions	60c	26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	55cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1acc…35b7backed Lions	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…9147backed Lions	61c	24.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Lions	60c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Lions	60c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Lions	59c	23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Lions	60c	23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Lions (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event