NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfafd687fde00f80a60126e81d3a428d3987f0461fef01a21d35bc5678dce150c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Lions, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,146,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,324,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,146,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Lions | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,000.1 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Lions | 49c | 139,746$68,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,195 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Lions | 49c | 122,422$59,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,986.89 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Vikings | 50c | 102,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Lions | 48c | 100,000$47,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,899.97 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Vikings | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,999.94 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 50c | 95,722$47,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,883.35 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Vikings | 52c | 67,719$35,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,505.11 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Lions | 48c | 52,116$25,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000.73 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vikings | 51c | 50,952$25,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,975.76 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Vikings | 51c | 50,028$25,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,591.51 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Vikings | 52c | 50,000$25,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,099.86 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings | 53c | 47,145$24,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,199.33 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 48c | 42,586$20,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,532.35 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vikings | 51c | 36,061$18,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,844.53 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Vikings | 50c | 29,922$14,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,961.2 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 51c | 26,393$13,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,023.71 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 49c | 26,024$12,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,855.81 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Vikings | 51c | 23,529$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,529.41 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…4320backed Vikings | 50c | 21,500$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bde…af71backed Lions | 50c | 21,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vikings | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Vikings | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Vikings | 52c | 14,350$7,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Vikings | 50c | 12,800$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Lions | 49c | 12,140$5,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Lions | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Vikings | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vikings | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Vikings | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Vikings | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.97 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Lions | 50c | 9,163$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vikings | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 40c | 7,531$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.4 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Lions | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Lions | 51c | 6,275$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Vikings | 50c | 6,160$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.02 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Lions | 48c | 5,925$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Lions | 50c | 5,700$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.01 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lions | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Lions | 48c | 4,294$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.06 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Lions | 47c | 4,200$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.69 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 30c | 4,029$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.95 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Vikings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Vikings | 52c | 3,323$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.87 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Vikings | 55c | 3,152$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Vikings | 53c | 3,043$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.1 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vikings | 51c | 2,659$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.1 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Vikings | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lions | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Lions | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lions | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Vikings | 52c | 2,000$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.5 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Vikings | 52c | 1,894$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lions | 49c | 1,866$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.75 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Vikings | 52c | 1,571$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.15 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Vikings | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Lions | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Vikings | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.43 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lions | 51c | 1,394$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Vikings | 52c | 1,352$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.27 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Lions | 48c | 1,206$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.29 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Lions | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Lions | 50c | 1,178$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Vikings | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Vikings | 52c | 1,003$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Lions | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Vikings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Vikings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Vikings | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Vikings | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Vikings | 52c | 965.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Vikings | 49c | 956.04$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.58 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Vikings | 53c | 937.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Lions | 43c | 921.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Vikings | 51c | 896.68$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.68 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…5b9cbacked Lions | 50c | 869.28$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Vikings | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lions | 44c | 845.14$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.34 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Vikings | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Vikings | 20c | 800$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lions | 31c | 794.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Vikings | 52c | 779.62$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Vikings | 55c | 722.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Lions | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Lions | 49c | 675.29$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Lions | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vikings | 50c | 627.61$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.48 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Vikings | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lions | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Vikings | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Vikings | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Vikings | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vikings | 49c | 542.93$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.22 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Vikings | 51c | 509.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Vikings | 49c | 500$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Lions | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Vikings | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Lions | 47c | 436$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Lions | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-3.5)Vikings won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-4.5)Vikings won
- Lions Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Lions vs. VikingsVikings won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5Under won
- Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.