NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x746f66fb1859ce9f795b0bbe0b4fede7666bfe4de95b2aa280296b25f763deee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Bills, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,391,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,785,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,391,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Bills | 47c | 1,662,725$781,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781,480.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Broncos | 53c | 741,523$393,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348,515.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Broncos | 53c | 653,085$343,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,042.48 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Broncos | 53c | 648,849$343,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304,958.92 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Broncos | 53c | 552,251$292,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259,558.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Bills | 48c | 370,518$177,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,848.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Broncos | 54c | 284,000$153,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,640 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Broncos | 52c | 274,142$142,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,588.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Bills | 46c | 272,124$125,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,177.15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bills | 47c | 230,000$108,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,099.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 44c | 221,937$96,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,734.35 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Broncos | 52c | 212,507$109,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,628.58 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Broncos | 60c | 182,869$109,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,096.11 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…aa40backed Bills | 47c | 178,407$83,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,599.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Broncos | 53c | 176,318$94,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,098.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bills | 47c | 175,000$82,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,250 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Broncos | 53c | 142,321$74,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,586.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Broncos | 56c | 137,519$77,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,175.96 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bills | 47c | 134,999$63,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,449.38 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 49c | 129,675$62,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,975.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Broncos | 53c | 115,555$61,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,520.96 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bills | 48c | 112,571$54,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,034 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bills | 43c | 106,530$46,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,068.62 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Broncos | 53c | 102,363$54,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,110.71 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Bills | 47c | 100,000$46,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,499.96 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Broncos | 76c | 100,000$75,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,049.89 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bills | 47c | 99,999$46,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,999.31 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bills | 47c | 96,567$45,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,386.57 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Broncos | 47c | 87,345$41,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,073.73 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed Bills | 47c | 84,000$39,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,480 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Broncos | 49c | 82,793$40,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,853.24 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Bills | 54c | 81,679$43,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,770.74 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Bills | 47c | 80,333$37,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,756.37 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…eb01backed Broncos | 54c | 80,013$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,012.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Bills | 47c | 74,182$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,999.63 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked Bills | 48c | 68,224$32,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,742.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Broncos | 61c | 68,068$41,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,286.05 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Broncos | 48c | 66,984$32,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,887.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Bills | 35c | 64,500$22,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,683.12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bills | 43c | 64,359$27,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,686.55 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Bills | 48c | 62,475$29,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,988.14 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Broncos | 52c | 60,000$31,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,899.97 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bills | 47c | 58,170$27,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,340 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Bills | 47c | 57,500$27,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,025 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Broncos | 53c | 56,866$29,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,003.98 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bills | 41c | 56,385$23,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,100.91 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bills | 47c | 52,959$24,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,890.51 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 45c | 51,530$23,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,154.12 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Broncos | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bills | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Broncos | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos | 52c | 49,065$25,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,779.61 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…8bc6backed Bills | 0c | 48,510$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Bills | 73c | 46,687$34,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,228.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Bills | 48c | 45,488$21,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,823.17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Broncos | 73c | 44,398$32,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,189.11 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Bills | 37c | 41,120$15,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,220.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bills | 47c | 40,001$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800.22 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Broncos | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.99 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Bills | 48c | 38,153$18,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,290.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bills | 41c | 37,575$15,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,521.82 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Bills | 47c | 37,445$17,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.01 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bills | 47c | 36,000$16,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,949.98 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Bills | 46c | 35,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.97 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bills | 58c | 34,905$20,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,263.29 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Broncos | 51c | 34,216$17,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,622.87 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Broncos | 53c | 32,000$16,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,059.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Bills | 51c | 31,034$15,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,846.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Bills | 47c | 30,655$14,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,492.9 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…ff01backed Bills | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bills | 33c | 29,870$9,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,835.05 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…b103backed Bills | 61c | 29,736$17,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,992.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Broncos | 62c | 29,184$18,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,082.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Bills | 56c | 28,985$16,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,264.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Broncos | 53c | 25,993$13,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,216.65 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Bills | 49c | 25,955$12,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,801.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Broncos | 62c | 25,380$15,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,673.29 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Broncos | 56c | 25,315$14,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,219.58 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Bills | 37c | 25,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,149.96 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Broncos | 54c | 24,839$13,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,479.7 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Bills | 47c | 24,699$11,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,608.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bills | 42c | 24,553$10,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,373.31 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Bills | 48c | 23,736$11,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,349 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37e…13f4backed Bills | 6c | 23,634$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bills | 47c | 22,922$10,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,773.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Broncos | 53c | 22,113$11,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,393.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Bills | 46c | 21,581$10,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,014.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Broncos | 52c | 21,094$11,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,090.64 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Broncos | 51c | 21,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Bills | 47c | 21,000$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Bills | 44c | 20,901$9,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,214.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Bills | 21c | 20,807$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Broncos | 53c | 20,800$11,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,776 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Bills | 41c | 20,700$8,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Bills | 49c | 20,425$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.62 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…b44bbacked Bills | 65c | 20,313$13,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,222.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bills | 47c | 20,237$9,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,461.42 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Bills | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Bills | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bills | 48c | 19,905$9,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,559.07 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Broncosthis page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-0.5)Broncos won
- Bills Team Total: O/U 13.5Over won
- Bills vs. Broncos: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Bills vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5Over won
- Bo Nix: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Broncos Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Dalton Kincaid: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 97.5Under won
- James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 76.5Over won
- Josh Allen: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 36.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.