NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4b5448faae597d112e5ef42eb44e1108404d905c0da0397841fe13210e9333f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $773,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 487,949$222,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,229.79 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Under | 55c | 181,755$99,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,965 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 54c | 179,333$96,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,982.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 54c | 160,000$86,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 46c | 40,641$18,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,052.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 40,440$18,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,837.6 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 54c | 37,379$20,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,110.74 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 54c | 35,555$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.7 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 54c | 21,074$11,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,369.02 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 54c | 17,000$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,179.98 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 47c | 15,064$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,983.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 54c | 14,440$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,740.06 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 46c | 12,100$5,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 12,075$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.41 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.05 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 8,813$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.26 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 33c | 8,530$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.76 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Over | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 54c | 6,000$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 54c | 5,567$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 43c | 5,553$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.09 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 46c | 4,742$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.68 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 45c | 4,719$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.52 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Under | 55c | 4,705$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 52c | 4,109$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.42 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 46c | 4,100$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 53c | 3,971$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Over | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 2,730$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.4 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 46c | 2,408$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.57 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 53c | 2,408$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…16f0backed Over | 48c | 2,342$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Under | 54c | 2,152$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 45c | 2,016$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 1,903$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.46 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65efbacked Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 52c | 1,651$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.27 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 47c | 1,605$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Over | 50c | 1,300$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,290$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.7 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 55c | 1,265$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Over | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.92 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…0317backed Over | 46c | 1,131$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Under | 53c | 956.58$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Over | 47c | 956.58$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Under | 64c | 939.2$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 50c | 937.48$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 55c | 926$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.3 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 55c | 912.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Under | 2c | 904.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 55c | 900$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 864$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 54c | 852.35$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.27 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Under | 54c | 759.33$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.04 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…f5c7backed Under | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 632.08$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 47c | 601.91$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 54c | 587.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 54c | 571.65$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ea…3d22backed Under | 55c | 558.36$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 46c | 540$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 517.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.47 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 46c | 490$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 57c | 480.48$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 64c | 469.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 45c | 468.29$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 50c | 428.23$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…e929backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-0.5)Broncos won
- Bills Team Total: O/U 13.5Over won
- Bills vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Bills vs. Broncos: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Bills vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Bo Nix: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Broncos Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Dalton Kincaid: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 97.5Under won
- James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 76.5Over won
- Josh Allen: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 36.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.