TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Over50c132,195$65,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,522.13345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Under51c56,359$28,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,615.821735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Under52c24,741$12,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,846.283557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…99a7backed Over51c19,581$9,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,923.881450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c13,988$6,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,729.9875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c7,051$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.451,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c5,611$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.3473651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under63c5,576$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.5815555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over48c4,500$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20526547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c3,572$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9951352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.9618650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under52c2,125$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02014757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0816648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89311255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Under60c1,668$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1620661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c1,543$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.8853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c1,457$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.0454451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under51c1,402$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Under52c1,136$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.328451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,107$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.9177052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Under48c1,005$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.411154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under51c1,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4958951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c806$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.941,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7216346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c605.28$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Under52c528.85$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.858450%42 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…adf9backed Under59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09f0…1e82backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+72.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.778639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under53c450$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.92254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under53c421.44$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c325$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15656852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over4c267.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6811122.5%25 W · 86 L+13.9wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+428.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c258.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2837350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Over50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Over49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.93056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9631540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b6…917abacked Under50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1b…0adebacked Under52c177.46$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.183046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8516243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2381…ea41backed Under52c148.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.471050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under49c144.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3783447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Under53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.516165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Over48c135.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659757.7%56 W · 41 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Under51c127.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2241450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under52c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.718245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010940.4%44 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1e…f3cdbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917459.2%103 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1847…460fbacked Under52c95.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.942240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.344040%16 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over49c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0824352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c90.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3816045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Over49c78.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.323951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510356.3%58 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e08…3d14backed Under55c55.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.510537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f8…bed5backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24161%25 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.215353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31be…2ed2backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.823447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6dd…0accbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f24…46cebacked Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e07…3702backed Over48c27.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480a…429fbacked Over49c26.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.046453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcec…5d1cbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.