NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf02749b588607dd1194e36466eedca1d692996958c7f52d9b848feb7f049983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Under | 47c | 25,051$11,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,277.01 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…cc53backed Over | 53c | 24,212$12,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,832.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 48c | 21,837$10,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,391.83 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 47c | 20,028$9,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,514.97 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 16,759$8,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,856.33 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 51c | 14,833$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.9 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 49c | 10,217$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,217.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Under | 49c | 10,209$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.59 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 9,611$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.98 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Under | 49c | 8,252$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…cf3abacked Under | 49c | 6,113$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 5,625$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.74 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 3,295$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.4 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 47c | 3,192$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.76 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 2,871$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.77 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 2,691$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.79 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 2,678$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.79 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.37 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 2,052$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.9 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…a933backed Under | 49c | 1,736$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 47c | 1,503$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…4a18backed Under | 49c | 1,485$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Under | 55c | 1,300$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 51c | 1,232$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.32 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 1,211$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.48 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,052$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.45 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Under | 47c | 994.74$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.21 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…de17backed Over | 52c | 892$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…9236backed Over | 52c | 844$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…c7e5backed Over | 52c | 831$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…2a39backed Over | 52c | 819$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Under | 49c | 816.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…0342backed Under | 49c | 815$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…1fe7backed Under | 49c | 770$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…35ccbacked Under | 49c | 714$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…34e7backed Under | 49c | 693$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Over | 51c | 675$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…433bbacked Over | 52c | 654$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 631.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.32 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…f520backed Under | 49c | 630$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…fa25backed Over | 52c | 610$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…dd4dbacked Over | 52c | 588$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…d4e7backed Under | 49c | 588$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…cb85backed Over | 52c | 555$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…f6d7backed Under | 49c | 535$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…b82abacked Over | 52c | 535$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…2e47backed Over | 52c | 525$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…4128backed Over | 52c | 516$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…0f56backed Over | 52c | 505$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…80ffbacked Over | 52c | 483$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…afedbacked Over | 52c | 470$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Over | 54c | 459.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…1f35backed Over | 52c | 456$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Over | 50c | 454.82$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…8a35backed Under | 49c | 441$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…ed13backed Under | 49c | 426$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…9940backed Under | 49c | 423$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over | 51c | 400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 45c | 380.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Over | 52c | 370.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…94c0backed Under | 49c | 366$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…d7b5backed Over | 54c | 362.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…1d13backed Over | 52c | 339$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbf…b7febacked Over | 52c | 330$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Under | 49c | 330$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 300.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Over | 53c | 275.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…27c1backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 204.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…1a90backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…f005backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Over | 52c | 197.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…edeabacked Under | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 52c | 171$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ea41backed Under | 49c | 164.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 48c | 115.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…293ebacked Over | 56c | 104.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Bengals won
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Bengals won
- Bengals vs. RavensBengals won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H MoneylineBengals won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 26.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 53.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 54.5Under won
- Ravens Team Total: O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.