TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bengalsof Bengals, Ravens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bengals28c1,734$486 inWon+$1,248.4839754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Ravens72c1,389$1,000 inLost-$1,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ea…f888backed Ravens72c500$360 inLost-$360757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497f…da80backed Ravens72c395.83$285 inLost-$285862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bengals28c318.13$90 inWon+$228.4475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x281d…814fbacked Bengals28c200$56 inWon+$1442343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb4…36c3backed Bengals33c188.94$62 inWon+$126.594734%16 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ravens67c150$101 inLost-$100.516045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e55…e52ebacked Ravens70c81.99$57 inLost-$57.395853.4%31 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bengals30c51.99$16 inWon+$36.3983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.