NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf28f50934f48391d9a3597b3702c1c6120571a1bfacd1d2ed75d3eb787604476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Ravens, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,008,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,215,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,008,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Ravens | 52c | 644,596$335,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335,984.72 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Ravens | 51c | 397,911$201,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,192.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bengals | 49c | 288,314$141,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,039.92 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bengals | 49c | 212,803$105,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,529.29 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Bengals | 49c | 179,958$88,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,778.39 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bengals | 47c | 107,972$51,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,931.39 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bengals | 46c | 105,486$48,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,962.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bengals | 47c | 100,050$47,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,027.75 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bengals | 46c | 77,467$35,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,812.49 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Ravens | 51c | 69,412$35,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,400 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bengals | 47c | 64,059$30,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,955.73 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bengals | 47c | 50,000$23,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,700 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bengals | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 47c | 47,500$22,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,074.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bengals | 48c | 35,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,199.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bengals | 60c | 33,171$20,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,138.81 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…efebbacked Bengals | 47c | 32,322$15,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,130.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ravens | 41c | 23,186$9,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,581.63 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens | 53c | 22,039$11,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.22 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bengals | 48c | 19,304$9,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,042.11 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens | 51c | 18,675$9,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,524.25 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bengals | 50c | 18,473$9,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,236.57 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ravens | 47c | 16,362$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.45 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ravens | 52c | 16,176$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.39 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bengals | 51c | 15,875$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,778.89 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bengals | 49c | 12,000$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160.81 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ravens | 52c | 12,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.99 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bengals | 52c | 10,923$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.2 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Ravens | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Bengals | 51c | 10,040$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.7 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Bengals | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…62f8backed Bengals | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…f961backed Ravens | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bengals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5200backed Ravens | 50c | 9,830$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Ravens | 51c | 9,487$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bengals | 49c | 9,250$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.48 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bengals | 49c | 7,770$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.47 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Ravens | 53c | 7,532$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bengals | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bengals | 55c | 7,134$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.5 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bengals | 46c | 6,696$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.84 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Bengals | 59c | 6,346$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.1 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bengals | 48c | 6,173$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.01 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Ravens | 53c | 5,773$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Ravens | 46c | 5,400$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Bengals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Ravens | 52c | 4,572$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.43 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ravens | 50c | 4,140$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.41 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Bengals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bengals | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Ravens | 47c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Ravens | 53c | 3,851$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.82 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Ravens | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 45c | 3,695$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.63 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Ravens | 49c | 3,599$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.75 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ravens | 48c | 3,335$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.8 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Bengals | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Ravens | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bengals | 56c | 2,928$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.04 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Bengals | 51c | 2,772$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.11 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Ravens | 50c | 2,495$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Ravens | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…53d0backed Ravens | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bengals | 50c | 2,205$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.55 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bengals | 51c | 2,186$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.17 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Ravens | 48c | 2,009$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Bengals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Bengals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bengals | 57c | 1,968$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.52 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Bengals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Ravens | 51c | 1,911$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Bengals | 51c | 1,800$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Bengals | 52c | 1,740$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bengals | 57c | 1,721$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.86 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bengals | 56c | 1,682$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.28 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Ravens | 50c | 1,505$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Bengals | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Bengals | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Bengals | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bengals | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Bengals | 63c | 1,373$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.26 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Ravens | 52c | 1,315$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Ravens | 20c | 1,250$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Ravens | 53c | 1,187$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Bengals | 47c | 1,062$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…8152backed Bengals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Ravens | 39c | 1,040$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.94 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Bengals | 49c | 1,010$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.21 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Bengals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…27c1backed Bengals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Ravens | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ravens | 48c | 994.23$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.23 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ravens | 50c | 986.3$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.08 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Bengals | 61c | 984.59$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.89 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Ravens | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Bengals | 58c | 964.06$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Bengals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Bengals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Bengals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Bengals won
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Bengals won
- Bengals vs. RavensBengals won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H MoneylineBengals won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 26.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 53.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 54.5Under won
- Ravens Team Total: O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.