TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6dd…0acc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST5957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$476
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+105.9%+$231.5
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71.58
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$182.45
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$33.6
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$36
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$241
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$333.87
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52.91
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$26.43
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75.53
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$44.55
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+64.5%+$19.6
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST4233.3%14 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120.5
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$244
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.55
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.3
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+97.4%+$29.6
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+76.3%+$47.6
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+89%+$56.5
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$144.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$138.74
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$241
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$81
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$99.99
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$46.74
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$74
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$62
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.