NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb3d174b4d2ae48fc3112f1447d5b8d33a8d6a2d2fa2444cb7105d29f3a935fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 211,542$139,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,502.43 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Bruins | 34c | 188,744$64,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,570.72 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Bruins | 37c | 139,224$51,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,166.44 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 110,328$70,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,163.99 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bruins | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 21,860$13,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,840.39 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bruins | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 15,020$9,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,462.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 11,921$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.15 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bruins | 54c | 9,168$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.71 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Bruins | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 8,995$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.85 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 7,832$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.49 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 6,410$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.49 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Bruins | 35c | 6,241$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.81 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Bruins | 35c | 4,960$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bruins | 35c | 4,180$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.77 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,823$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.78 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 3,729$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.69 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,292$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bruins | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bruins | 36c | 2,677$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.66 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bruins | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bruins | 35c | 1,964$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.86 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 10c | 1,906$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bruins | 36c | 1,874$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.59 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,667$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Bruins | 37c | 1,665$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bruins | 35c | 1,552$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.62 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bruins | 57c | 1,500$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.39 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bruins | 37c | 1,391$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.21 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 36c | 1,310$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.05 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…1f55backed Bruins | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,293$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.39 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins | 34c | 1,152$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.08 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bruins | 36c | 1,023$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bruins | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bruins | 37c | 997.81$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.07 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bruins | 35c | 852.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.36 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bruins | 36c | 773.37$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.1 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…6661backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 692.81$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bruins | 35c | 680.87$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.57 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 651.52$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bruins | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…203cbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Bruins | 34c | 569.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.23 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Bruins | 36c | 566.15$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.34 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 535$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.75 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 473.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 461.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 454.95$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 425$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Bruins | 39c | 416.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 387.59$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 383.46$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 23c | 376.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Bruins | 37c | 317.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 300$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Bruins | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bruins | 60c | 280.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Bruins | 38c | 275$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bruins | 35c | 270$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 247.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 61c | 246.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked Bruins | 37c | 215$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bruins | 35c | 209$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bruins | 22c | 204.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Bruins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…552cbacked Bruins | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Bruins | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Bruins | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bruins | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bruins | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…5924backed Bruins | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 183.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…0f44backed Bruins | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 169.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bruins | 35c | 165.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 163$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Bruins | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Bruins | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Bruins | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…e67abacked Bruins | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…b1c0backed Bruins | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Bruins | 37c | 139$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Bruins | 75c | 137.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…ca43backed Bruins | 76c | 136.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Bruins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.