TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,937,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,159,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,937,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers41c236,731$97,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,698.2487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers58c143,586$83,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,298.762,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Lakers57c83,861$47,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,471.5238649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed 76ers42c67,169$27,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,937.2211535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Lakers57c60,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,000.138248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked 76ers44c56,365$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers79c53,209$41,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,392.141,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed 76ers62c35,939$22,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,320.6227251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x387c…57b3backed Lakers58c33,995$19,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,341.52825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Lakers66c30,873$20,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,610.2334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Lakers61c30,000$18,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,80018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Lakers44c28,000$12,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,701.0418151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9e…76fabacked Lakers78c27,886$21,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,253.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked 76ers38c24,038$9,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,174.6427424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Lakers59c20,474$12,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,426.69336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Lakers50c20,042$10,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,944.647259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 76ers38c19,791$7,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,482.4274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked 76ers49c19,122$9,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,409.1626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed 76ers17c18,595$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.551,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 76ers39c16,206$6,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,255.8935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers2c16,133$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.831,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…f65cbacked 76ers41c15,067$6,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,177.511233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Lakers37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,449.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers42c13,474$5,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,637.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers42c12,508$5,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,228.982,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers57c11,392$6,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.783,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Lakers45c11,011$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.482744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers38c10,825$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers36c10,139$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.951,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Lakers60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c72…0946backed Lakers59c9,662$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,961.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers59c9,585$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed 76ers37c9,153$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.661822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked 76ers5c8,529$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325911.9%7 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers67c8,394$5,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.9122458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked 76ers55c7,917$4,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.4941954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Lakers69c7,757$5,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.6413154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Lakers52c7,449$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.7917441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…d0eebacked Lakers59c7,164$4,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers34c6,987$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.683,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers59c6,709$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.982,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2a…587ebacked 76ers40c6,276$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers41c6,098$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.5676746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers38c6,055$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.421,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed 76ers51c5,999$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.4716540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lakers60c5,960$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.8944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers70c5,919$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.232,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers19c5,904$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.093,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Lakers58c5,714$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.7919136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Lakers38c5,555$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.092142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Lakers70c5,336$3,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.3616919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed 76ers16c5,067$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.147236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked 76ers61c4,782$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.033455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked 76ers41c4,581$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.012850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers54c4,500$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.7273649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ef…a03cbacked Lakers61c4,339$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8334…3fb2backed 76ers39c4,328$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Lakers49c4,278$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.7822036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Lakers53c4,197$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.4516943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers40c4,138$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.271,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed 76ers56c4,106$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28138046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed 76ers39c4,008$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.984742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Lakers58c4,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,69050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76046342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers60c3,911$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.372,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Lakers59c3,872$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.255655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0d…8bb7backed Lakers57c3,800$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6345872.4%42 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Lakers61c3,564$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.5322542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Lakers60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.337062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers61c3,306$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.721,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed 76ers29c3,296$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 76ers24c3,276$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.2566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9170…718bbacked Lakers62c3,259$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.42955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…e04cbacked Lakers62c3,018$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers31c3,012$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.022,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Lakers58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed 76ers38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14047028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Lakers63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1101,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…dec2backed Lakers57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2904052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Lakers45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed 76ers7c2,909$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9939018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Lakers40c2,850$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.4312238.5%47 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers45c2,850$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.3950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Lakers78c2,793$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.792536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Lakers52c2,791$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.2222247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84e7…7d08backed Lakers65c2,762$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Lakers58c2,555$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.147751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ba…8a09backed 76ers39c2,550$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.394223.8%10 W · 32 L-8.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-48.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed 76ers54c2,544$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.682025%5 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed 76ers28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers40c2,428$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.2572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed 76ers38c2,403$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.7155346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers58c2,373$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers58c2,276$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.962,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Lakers60c2,254$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.7626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers53c2,251$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.3334852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5046…3733backed 76ers21c2,229$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.