NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382b04ba24e18ac6d3436907384e98b4670435c97a43eda7d5c046eb00c623a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33a…9bf3backed Under | 49c | 2,220$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 2,098$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.08 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,203$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 53c | 659.04$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.29 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 381.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 226.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 150.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Over | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 109.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 108.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…4f76backed Over | 52c | 76.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)76ers won
- Lakers vs. 76ersLakers won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.