NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8063c42a9cc461d08bf2cee158719abf6320853a9d194d85abd65a49f7f37a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 56c | 5,991$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.25 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 4,604$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.98 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Over | 44c | 3,017$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.43 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…778dbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,812$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Under | 56c | 1,789$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Under | 57c | 1,765$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 1,684$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 56c | 1,679$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.85 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,033$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 872$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.34 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Under | 56c | 480.96$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 405$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 361.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 192.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 186.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 161$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 46c | 153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 28c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…701bbacked Over | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Under | 74c | 106.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 78.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 16c | 66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 46c | 54.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 51.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 55c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 49c | 35.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 51c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 44c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 49c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)76ers won
- Lakers vs. 76ersLakers won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.