TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00df…701b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT9347.3%44 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+82%+$35.66
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$62.43
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.03
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.63
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$59.8
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+98%+$34.65
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.98
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.81
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.41
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.41
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$72.94
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$66.74
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.08
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$53.51
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.42
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.85
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.04
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT296.9%2 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-80.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.29
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29.99
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.7
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24.86
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.7
Heat vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.17
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30.38
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30.38
Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29.97
Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.43
Lakers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.67
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.51
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.67
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H Moneylinebacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$59.98
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.67
Nuggets vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$59.94
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.27
Magic vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$79.2
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.17
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.06
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$55.78
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.5
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$185.06
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.21
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.17
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.29
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$83.12
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.21
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.