MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1147da0bfe785460cd4fcb135bd3edfff40d70fdc84d18c31631e5723b32b523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 25,721$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,748.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 25,435$13,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,988.93 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 24,767$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,296.67 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 24,589$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 19,637$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.5 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 18,516$9,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,963.8 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 17,086$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.11 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 16,262$7,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,919.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 15,027$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,264.01 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 14c | 14,912$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.13 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 11,700$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 10,461$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 9,538$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 9,152$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 7,560$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 6,618$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 5,781$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.67 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 4,852$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Chicago Cubs | 9c | 4,430$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 4,396$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.64 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 4,300$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.99 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 3,899$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.05 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,593$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.89 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 2,175$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 2,161$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 2,000$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.8 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,986$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,957$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.97 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,626$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 1,556$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.42 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,237$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.55 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Chicago Cubs | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.26 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 989.89$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 944.75$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.12 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 861.89$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.33 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 860$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 860$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 854.78$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 848.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Chicago Cubs | 17c | 772.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 700.35$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.27 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…75d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 660$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 647.8$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 644.8$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 639$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.06 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…eaeabacked Chicago Cubs | 13c | 507.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 499.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…ea1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 23c | 472.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 442.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 434.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 424.6$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.53 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Chicago Cubs | 13c | 384.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 383$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 381$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 379$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 362.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 354.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 339.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 333$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 325$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 321.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 314.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 310.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 288.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 288.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…76c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 268.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 263$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 240.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 240.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 232.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 225.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 220$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.78 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 5c | 218.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 217.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 213.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…2460backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 213.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…5baebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 209.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 208.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.