TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb8f…3ce9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick17cpaid+115.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,075.86
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+525%+$2,100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,063.63
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.25
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,200
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$599.91
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.5
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$637.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.2
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$637.5
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$600
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+608.1%+$1,249.72
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$317
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$546
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.96
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$295.55
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.19
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.58
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.83
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.31
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$492
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick11cpaid+184.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Amstelveen: Pieter De Lange vs Jakub Nicodbacked Jakub Nicod · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
ITF Porto: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Francisco Rochabacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.2
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
ITF Maanshan: Xi Luo vs Jiayu Xubacked Xi Luo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$278
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+2,009.8%+$2,201.06
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$480
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$498
ITF Blois: Clara Burel vs Despina Papamichailbacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.68
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+400%+$480
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.8
Nottingham 2: Oliver Tarvet vs Roman Safiullinbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.69
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.46
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Abacked Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.92
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$341.53
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$308.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+458.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+1,016.8%+$2,003
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick17cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.