TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Subtop De France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2aaf…b21abacked Subtop De France14c12,002$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a4…5c48backed Subtop De France22c10,447$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Subtop De France48c4,196$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.2243951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed Subtop De France19c2,996$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.716643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Subtop De France27c2,097$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.7355236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Subtop De France36c1,881$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8239946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports80c1,716$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.092,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports80c1,682$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.355,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Subtop De France35c1,615$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.332,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c6…ca73backed Subtop De France29c1,514$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports69c1,402$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.263,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Subtop De France21c1,377$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.028545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed ex-MANA eSports79c1,270$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.834240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Subtop De France16c1,107$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.48345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Subtop De France14c1,077$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.787353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed Subtop De France32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed Subtop De France16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Subtop De France16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7494…ee81backed Subtop De France16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed ex-MANA eSports77c715.54$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9228434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Subtop De France16c631.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.491,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Subtop De France21c624.38$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.344,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Subtop De France16c600$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Subtop De France16c600$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Subtop De France16c600$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Subtop De France23c591.89$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5330155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Subtop De France27c576$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8520562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Subtop De France19c558.01$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked ex-MANA eSports78c556.36$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.421146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Subtop De France51c555$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0524551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed ex-MANA eSports64c554.97$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7933237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Subtop De France15c514.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.642927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+307.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed ex-MANA eSports78c512.41$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.417652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports78c493.49$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.842,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ex-MANA eSports78c470.07$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7388330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Subtop De France16c461.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.327742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Subtop De France22c444.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked ex-MANA eSports73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.965882.8%48 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Subtop De France21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed ex-MANA eSports78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6244244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91cc…f388backed ex-MANA eSports56c360.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.241060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed ex-MANA eSports61c327.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Subtop De France18c311.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.052,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Subtop De France16c300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Subtop De France16c300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498332.5%27 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed Subtop De France24c300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8513649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Subtop De France16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed ex-MANA eSports66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-MANA eSports71c297.84$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Subtop De France19c292.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.332,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Subtop De France19c283.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.492634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d94…cc42backed Subtop De France24c280.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.052842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed ex-MANA eSports78c260$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.211841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed ex-MANA eSports78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.416640.9%27 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked ex-MANA eSports78c255$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.115044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-MANA eSports77c251.89$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0663038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ex-MANA eSports79c242.13$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.651,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked ex-MANA eSports57c238.75$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.436744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ed1backed ex-MANA eSports68c219.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed ex-MANA eSports73c213.25$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.311,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Subtop De France20c209.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.711,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Subtop De France24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Subtop De France19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Subtop De France14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked ex-MANA eSports52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968542.4%36 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Subtop De France19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked ex-MANA eSports79c198.03$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5966446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed ex-MANA eSports80c176$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5232139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed ex-MANA eSports55c160.27$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2737949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Subtop De France32c157.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd030…5adfbacked ex-MANA eSports73c153.46$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792580%20 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed ex-MANA eSports71c151.41$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.318645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2690…4089backed ex-MANA eSports80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.052352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Subtop De France17c142.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.525556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d28…5175backed Subtop De France13c134.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+71.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Subtop De France15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Subtop De France19c133.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.331,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed ex-MANA eSports49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed ex-MANA eSports67c90.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0327248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Subtop De France27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.349242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Subtop De France14c83.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6785054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed ex-MANA eSports76c83.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5952369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-MANA eSports79c81.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Subtop De France34c80.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.422,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed ex-MANA eSports56c79.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.26333.3%21 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed ex-MANA eSports76c78.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7730859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Subtop De France27c76.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6230831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aec…aff7backed Subtop De France15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed ex-MANA eSports73c67.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3619340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Subtop De France28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4422837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed ex-MANA eSports78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4318951.3%97 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed ex-MANA eSports56c50.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.082755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Subtop De France23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.534140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe800…6bfbbacked ex-MANA eSports68c49.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed ex-MANA eSports80c49.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9810041%41 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Subtop De France22c49.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6630450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Subtop De France27c49.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Subtop De France22c47.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4120147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed ex-MANA eSports78c47.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2920242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Subtop De France31c46.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.322,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.