TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe800…6bfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.73
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.65
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.5
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ODDIK (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.84
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Millennium Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.85
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.99
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Abacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.99
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.09
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.15
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$196.84
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.2
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.32
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.3
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao (BO3) - XPortal Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.5
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Abacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.18
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$49.32
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33.66
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: Hive vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$154.35
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+525%+$71.4
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.07
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+170.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.46
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$174
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$203.2
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$187.87
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$204.99
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.03
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.