Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cc3c7d669843de4f7ded48b2b98b44d912054fa42744c65833aca349b23a9e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Poor Rangers, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Poor Rangers | 29c | 34,425$9,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,844.2 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 18,031$11,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,947.75 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 16,183$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.23 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…1c50backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 14,477$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 11,975$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.17 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 11,279$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.86 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Poor Rangers | 14c | 10,921$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.94 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed Poor Rangers | 37c | 6,974$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 4,964$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.86 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 4,950$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 4,379$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.87 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 4,337$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Poor Rangers | 38c | 3,997$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Poor Rangers | 46c | 3,500$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.51 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 2,648$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.78 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.06 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 2,145$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.39 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 1,619$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.71 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,608$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.1 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,583$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.72 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 1,534$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.21 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 1,519$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.6 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 1,517$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 1,500$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.02 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Poor Rangers | 53c | 1,318$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.51 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Poor Rangers | 16c | 1,225$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Poor Rangers | 42c | 1,188$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Poor Rangers | 37c | 1,185$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 1,152$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.85 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 1,115$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.19 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Poor Rangers | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 1,030$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Poor Rangers | 53c | 1,004$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.73 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Poor Rangers | 38c | 998.22$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.07 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 974.1$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 872.48$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.84 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 856$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 838.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.81 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.31 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 793.56$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 791.11$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.71 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 749$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.1 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 744.13$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.65 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Poor Rangers | 55c | 740.43$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.71 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 740$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 726.17$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 716.13$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Poor Rangers | 38c | 665.05$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Poor Rangers | 53c | 661$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 656.51$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 583.87$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 576$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 571.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.78 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Poor Rangers | 30c | 549.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 532.31$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 530.29$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Poor Rangers | 41c | 500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 462.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 455.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Poor Rangers | 44c | 454.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 400$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 343.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 339.32$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 332.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 331.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Poor Rangers | 34c | 294.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 293$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 263.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 262.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 258.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 256.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Poor Rangers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Poor Rangers | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 38.2%91 W · 147 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Poor Rangers | 37c | 199.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 186$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 176.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Poor Rangers | 17c | 176.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.