TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune Eatersof Poor Rangers, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Poor Rangers56c18,491$10,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,362.9717948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters50c8,465$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.8753451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters51c7,848$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,864.1750347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Rune Eaters45c5,265$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.648657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Poor Rangers48c4,613$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.9330667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Poor Rangers40c3,795$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.0250850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Poor Rangers39c3,426$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.8842650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Poor Rangers30c3,373$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.0533453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters40c3,089$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.1977258.5%452 W · 320 L+74.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters48c3,067$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.691,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Poor Rangers7c2,942$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9441042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Poor Rangers28c2,662$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.3989341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters40c2,617$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.021,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Rune Eaters30c2,427$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.4416058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Poor Rangers66c2,214$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.2341056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Rune Eaters60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80079559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Rune Eaters58c2,000$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.797936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters49c1,814$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.8114646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Rune Eaters23c1,600$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2321,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Poor Rangers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.656949%279 W · 290 L+34.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters57c1,325$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.841,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Rune Eaters51c1,300$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64227060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters27c1,250$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.528044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters50c1,158$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.8871143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Poor Rangers46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50653764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Poor Rangers40c1,072$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9928347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters51c1,014$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.911,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Poor Rangers71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71079159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters44c976.18$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.041,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Rune Eaters44c889.58$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5222031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Rune Eaters56c868.67$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6223459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked Poor Rangers56c840$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46949644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Rune Eaters61c819.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6621155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Rune Eaters70c812.81$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.055358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Rune Eaters62c807.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0414557.9%84 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Poor Rangers50c800.47$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7253758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa102…6b5bbacked Poor Rangers45c755$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.63847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd953…a9c0backed Rune Eaters60c733.33$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.938958.4%52 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Poor Rangers42c716.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Rune Eaters60c659.91$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9630854.9%169 W · 139 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked Poor Rangers62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031953.9%172 W · 147 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1200…2f40backed Poor Rangers31c620.61$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.394045%18 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb7…7028backed Poor Rangers49c611$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006839.7%27 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Rune Eaters51c600$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29745457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Rune Eaters25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45049952.9%264 W · 235 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Poor Rangers56c568$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Poor Rangers39c510.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1994037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Rune Eaters69c500$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8314767.3%99 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Rune Eaters35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32528549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Poor Rangers42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters43c493.62$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.371,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Rune Eaters63c482.49$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5215742%66 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Rune Eaters47c450$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.559154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Rune Eaters35c430.69$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9550749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Poor Rangers47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Poor Rangers32c409.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9329240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Rune Eaters70c392$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.68050%40 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Rune Eaters50c350.04$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.437055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Rune Eaters48c350$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.792561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Rune Eaters70c340.44$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.135038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Rune Eaters29c312.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.569365.6%61 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Rune Eaters62c311.63$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.525246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Rune Eaters60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12054659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Rune Eaters24c300$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22929047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d9…2085backed Rune Eaters76c297$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.282142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters31c279.37$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5792846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d6…6bf4backed Rune Eaters31c250.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3113453.7%72 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Rune Eaters61c249.12$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1666648.6%324 W · 342 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Rune Eaters60c248.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2358156.6%329 W · 252 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Poor Rangers42c244.33$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6211733.3%39 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Rune Eaters41c242.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8540539.3%159 W · 246 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Poor Rangers42c240.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…3038backed Rune Eaters57c228.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5723361.8%144 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Rune Eaters62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7645052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10851544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf63d…c601backed Poor Rangers8c194.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Rune Eaters55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8216963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb22…8186backed Rune Eaters61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Poor Rangers39c163.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9329548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters60c162.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Rune Eaters49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0615957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Rune Eaters45c151.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.518040%32 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21cc…54bcbacked Rune Eaters63c150.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.798442.9%36 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Rune Eaters59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.513844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Poor Rangers52c149.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.319547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Poor Rangers10c149$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters55c142.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.111,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Rune Eaters65c139.45$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0740933%135 W · 274 L-36.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Rune Eaters55c137$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6525956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Poor Rangers31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036452.5%191 W · 173 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Rune Eaters60c119.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.245951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Rune Eaters42c113.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2924345.3%110 W · 133 L+15.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf461…9ef2backed Poor Rangers70c113.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.788164.2%52 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Poor Rangers39c112.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2355…4869backed Rune Eaters60c111.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6710552.4%55 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd166…e432backed Rune Eaters18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.113655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Poor Rangers39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404025%10 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Rune Eaters59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4180742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Poor Rangers31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.