Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316fb087fff3e975148ec94d2803f9f0359b70987f773f7dd2c2af236ef5196e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Poor Rangers, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Poor Rangers | 56c | 18,491$10,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,362.97 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 8,465$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.87 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 7,848$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.17 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 5,265$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.64 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Poor Rangers | 48c | 4,613$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.93 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Poor Rangers | 40c | 3,795$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.02 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 3,426$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.88 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Poor Rangers | 30c | 3,373$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.05 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 3,089$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.19 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 3,067$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Poor Rangers | 7c | 2,942$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Poor Rangers | 28c | 2,662$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.39 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 2,617$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 2,427$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.44 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Poor Rangers | 66c | 2,214$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.23 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 2,000$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.79 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,814$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.81 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Poor Rangers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 1,325$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.84 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,300$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.5 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,158$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.88 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Poor Rangers | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 1,072$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,014$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.91 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Poor Rangers | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 976.18$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.04 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 889.58$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.52 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 868.67$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.62 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Poor Rangers | 56c | 840$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 819.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 812.81$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 807.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Poor Rangers | 50c | 800.47$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.72 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Poor Rangers | 45c | 755$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 733.33$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.93 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 716.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 659.91$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.96 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Poor Rangers | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…2f40backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 620.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Poor Rangers | 49c | 611$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Poor Rangers | 56c | 568$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 510.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 500$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 493.62$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.37 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 482.49$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 450$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 430.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Poor Rangers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 409.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 392$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 350.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 350$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 340.44$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 312.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 311.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 300$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 297$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 279.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 250.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 249.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 248.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Poor Rangers | 42c | 244.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 242.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Poor Rangers | 42c | 240.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 228.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf63d…c601backed Poor Rangers | 8c | 194.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…8186backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 162.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 150.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Poor Rangers | 52c | 149.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Poor Rangers | 10c | 149$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 142.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 139.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Poor Rangers | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 119.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 113.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +15.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…9ef2backed Poor Rangers | 70c | 113.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 112.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 111.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Poor Rangers | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.