TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof Virtus.pro, ex-RUBY
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84d0…95babacked Virtus.pro21c11,904$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.861315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY50c7,742$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.887,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Virtus.pro69c4,338$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.3820249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY58c2,505$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.196,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY68c2,369$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.745,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed ex-RUBY59c1,805$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.4989046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY80c1,652$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.442,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Virtus.pro32c1,395$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.6389630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed ex-RUBY67c1,269$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1262448.2%301 W · 323 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed ex-RUBY49c1,119$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.67735.1%27 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Virtus.pro44c1,066$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.850349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Virtus.pro57c1,026$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.822,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked ex-RUBY55c1,005$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3910262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Virtus.pro9c918.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6912627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY53c889.04$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.224,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Virtus.pro51c877.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro51c832.66$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.11,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Virtus.pro50c796.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40049251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro52c679.08$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.91,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Virtus.pro67c673.82$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro14c666.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.232,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY50c659.62$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.125,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2be…78c2backed ex-RUBY48c619.98$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.395862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Virtus.pro48c606.97$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed ex-RUBY50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Virtus.pro52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed ex-RUBY49c556.11$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.219340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed ex-RUBY48c555.26$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5111742.7%50 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUBY47c551.45$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Virtus.pro42c545.97$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.283537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Virtus.pro32c539.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.820936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked ex-RUBY51c539.11$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.779732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed ex-RUBY50c520.27$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1240857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed ex-RUBY60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed ex-RUBY49c455$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23145754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus.pro23c452.03$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.861,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro51c451.17$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.572,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY60c437.14$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.893,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Virtus.pro54c434.37$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.569441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f4…4bc8backed Virtus.pro10c419.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d25…0f79backed Virtus.pro50c397.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro51c394.51$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.442,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY49c387$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.375,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro34c384.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.075,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY54c384.22$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.755,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc2…d305backed Virtus.pro49c379.68$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.049053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Virtus.pro51c367.1$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.221457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Virtus.pro54c363.26$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9339538.7%153 W · 242 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY50c346.14$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.452,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUBY54c333.8$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.941,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe800…6bfbbacked ex-RUBY60c333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked ex-RUBY51c319.61$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6114441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro69c313.15$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked ex-RUBY52c310$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.813844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed ex-RUBY50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15027050.7%137 W · 133 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed ex-RUBY45c298.31$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0740542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e8…8d87backed Virtus.pro32c295.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Virtus.pro50c294$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14727548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Virtus.pro53c264.47$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6713234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Virtus.pro32c260$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.29736.1%35 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY42c255.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.653,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Virtus.pro55c247.27$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13624256.6%137 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed ex-RUBY61c246.48$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4670060.1%421 W · 279 L+70.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Virtus.pro72c241.49$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17544675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Virtus.pro35c232.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0842149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUBY70c230.23$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7452242.5%222 W · 300 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Virtus.pro47c228.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5849849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd8…7b1dbacked Virtus.pro9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3a…bdffbacked Virtus.pro41c219.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.993151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-RUBY52c219.43$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.392,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed ex-RUBY53c217$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.999450%47 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed ex-RUBY62c210.48$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.487247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ex-RUBY70c200.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7660143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Virtus.pro50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Virtus.pro30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013219.7%26 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ex-RUBY49c196.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4674754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6925…f929backed ex-RUBY44c195.85$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed ex-RUBY51c194.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY73c193$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.13,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Virtus.pro71c186.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ad…3575backed Virtus.pro56c184.55$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Virtus.pro49c179.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8838049.5%188 W · 192 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro48c178.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.162,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ex-RUBY66c172.7$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5754743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY55c161.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.574,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Virtus.pro47c155$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4530348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed ex-RUBY52c154.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0936856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5480…b38cbacked Virtus.pro51c154.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked ex-RUBY52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8513332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d88…a5a3backed Virtus.pro49c153.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked ex-RUBY46c151.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8233839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Virtus.pro54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8159445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed ex-RUBY66c146.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2320242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUBY64c142$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.542,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked ex-RUBY52c141.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7835947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Virtus.pro50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY50c139.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.992,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed ex-RUBY72c138.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.372770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Virtus.pro53c136.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY46c133.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.572,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.