TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6ad…3575

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENERGYULTRA vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.72
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$25.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$219.2
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$53.76
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)backed K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$33.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$66.51
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.25
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$27.15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.33
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$39.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.05
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$19.74
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.66
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.41
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.01
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$50.9
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54%+$79.91
Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49%+$36.22
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Dota 2: summer bear vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.84
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.84
Asuncion 2: Samuel Heredia vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.