Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f4283681fb9badb30bf4610b47d245505dd23b892943eee557f4a0aec21561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flame Teamof Hive, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Flame Team | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Flame Team | 53c | 3,734$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.65 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Hive | 44c | 3,423$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.86 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Hive | 50c | 2,450$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.02 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Hive | 41c | 2,140$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.21 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Hive | 49c | 1,699$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.5 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hive | 37c | 1,646$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Hive | 44c | 1,523$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.97 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Hive | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hive | 36c | 1,206$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.53 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Flame Team | 64c | 1,173$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Hive | 1c | 1,146$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Flame Team | 58c | 1,128$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.57 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hive | 44c | 1,077$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.77 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Flame Team | 61c | 868.13$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Hive | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Flame Team | 56c | 738.04$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Hive | 50c | 727.65$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hive | 35c | 722.3$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.51 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Flame Team | 60c | 705.97$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Flame Team | 64c | 699.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.68 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Flame Team | 60c | 683.02$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hive | 31c | 645.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Flame Team | 54c | 619.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Hive | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Flame Team | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Flame Team | 45c | 575.22$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.22 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hive | 46c | 557.89$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Hive | 50c | 530.8$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Hive | 38c | 501.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Hive | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Flame Team | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Flame Team | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flame Team | 61c | 416.19$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Hive | 50c | 411.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Flame Team | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Flame Team | 53c | 388.94$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hive | 38c | 379.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Flame Team | 45c | 377.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Flame Team | 54c | 370.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Flame Team | 51c | 349.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Hive | 35c | 344.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Hive | 38c | 309.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Flame Team | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Hive | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Flame Team | 70c | 287.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hive | 38c | 283.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Hive | 38c | 277.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Flame Team | 56c | 254.9$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Flame Team | 58c | 244.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hive | 45c | 241.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Flame Team | 49c | 231.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Flame Team | 75c | 215.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Flame Team | 63c | 205.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Flame Team | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hive | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Hive | 13c | 196.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hive | 44c | 181.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Hive | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Hive | 14c | 155.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Flame Team | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Flame Team | 65c | 149.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Hive | 46c | 147.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Hive | 28c | 146.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Hive | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Flame Team | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Hive | 35c | 142.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Hive | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Hive | 34c | 129.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Hive | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive | 52c | 119.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…bb2dbacked Hive | 12c | 116.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ad…3575backed Flame Team | 67c | 110.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Flame Team | 59c | 103.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Hive | 34c | 102.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Hive | 34c | 102.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Flame Team | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Flame Team | 62c | 101.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Flame Team | 63c | 101.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Flame Team | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Flame Team | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Hive | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Hive | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Flame Team | 69c | 97.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hive | 50c | 94.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Flame Team | 63c | 92.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Hive | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Flame Team | 69c | 84.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Flame Team | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Hive | 38c | 78.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Flame Team | 30c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…bb1cbacked Hive | 46c | 73.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Hive | 30c | 72.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Hive | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Hive | 45c | 69.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Flame Team | 59c | 67.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flame Team | 67c | 56.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Flame Team | 59c | 56.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Flame Team | 59c | 54.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Hive | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team - Game 1 WinnerFlame Team won
- Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team - Game 2 WinnerHive won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.