TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, ECHO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked K2747c6,579$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.9892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ECHO38c2,270$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.452,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ECHO54c2,074$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.244,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ECHO55c2,000$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.493,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed ECHO56c856.84$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3533647.9%161 W · 175 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked ECHO56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2740c319.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.135,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b50…b417backed ECHO56c271.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked ECHO62c219.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ECHO55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5592145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked K2775c85.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9226853.7%144 W · 124 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ad…3575backed K2753c71.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.413167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed K2740c66.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4045745.1%206 W · 251 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d8…fd15backed ECHO60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…c8dabacked K2751c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed ECHO57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed ECHO47c31.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570242.2%296 W · 406 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f6…cb46backed ECHO54c25.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ECHO54c24.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.