TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bb8…c8da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.13
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.4
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$31.4
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.15
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.07
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.86
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.43
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$57.33
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$101.18
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.35
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.86
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+79%+$9.63
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$15.7
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.72
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+446.9%+$93.44
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+162%+$18.78
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$22.7
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$10.25
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked roamsfiest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$13.74
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)backed K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+97%+$29.55
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$14.2
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$16.35
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$30.39
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Altmaier vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Ben Shelton vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$30.22
Hijikata vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.66
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$68.36
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.73
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.