MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12658e2cc9644d77f8a621d8cc1233c698467bc62081ea12dc3423a4135fb143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,000,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,003,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 370,812$173,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,530.43 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 300,499$144,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,260.07 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 232,059$118,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,797.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 171,603$92,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,004.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 123,093$63,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,639.06 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 27,713$12,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,435.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.98 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 16,374$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,662.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 32c | 14,730$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.22 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 14,404$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 13,000$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 12,496$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.83 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 9,286$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 9,161$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.87 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 8,758$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 7,657$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.38 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 6,915$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.83 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 5,967$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 5,500$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 4,906$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 4,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 4,500$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.5 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,130$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.11 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 4,082$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.2 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,696$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,913$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.05 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,775$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 2,624$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.11 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 2,560$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,419$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.16 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,350$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.49 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 2,308$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.19 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,150$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,100$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,932$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,827$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 1,656$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.52 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…f0c8backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 1,648$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.77 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…f4dfbacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 1,648$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,095$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.57 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,054$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.64 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 993.6$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.25 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 988.7$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.02 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 945.01$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 873$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.29 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 867.36$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.48 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 843$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…111dbacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 833.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 739.65$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 666.66$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…ea1dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 664.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 644.46$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 625$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 603.66$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.96 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 562$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 509.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 504.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.02 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 480$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 468.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 454.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 435.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 420.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 420.04$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 395.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 389.33$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 380.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 378.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 371.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 361.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 310.23$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 304$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 300$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 295.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…0bd7backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 245.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 230.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 220$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.