Tennis · resolved market
Hijikata vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967cd93841fdb140a87794a5da5fe79447f09c7fe9f5a926bb75425ee2cf5baa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 54c | 4,600$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.07 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 46c | 1,745$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.76 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 677.65$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.72 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 536.06$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 495$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 46c | 281.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 46c | 243.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 46c | 215.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 168.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 161.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Over | 54c | 157.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 135.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 86.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 47c | 63.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 63.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 46.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…c8dabacked Over | 55c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…722ebacked Over | 55c | 32.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…2adbbacked Over | 54c | 23.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hijikata vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 22.5this page
- HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri LeheckaRinky Hijikata won
- Rinky Hijikata vs. Jiri Lehecka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs LeheckaLehecka won
- Set 2 Winner: Hijikata vs LeheckaHijikata won
- Set Handicap: Hijikata (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Lehecka won
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)Hijikata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.