Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fe01f2346870a2ecb3c0648745154289bc9ba5196f81ce1c46edb4158e8379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hijikataof Lehecka, Hijikata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Lehecka | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 551 | 41.2%227 W · 324 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Hijikata | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.56 | 373 | 57.6%215 W · 158 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Hijikata | 54c | 382.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Hijikata | 45c | 358.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Lehecka | 65c | 299.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Lehecka | 61c | 253.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 502 | 47%236 W · 266 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Lehecka | 52c | 250.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Lehecka | 48c | 246.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Lehecka | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Hijikata | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Lehecka | 51c | 191.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lehecka | 46c | 170.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hijikata | 48c | 169.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Hijikata | 52c | 166.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 458 | 52%238 W · 220 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hijikata | 49c | 162.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 2,223 | 36.9%821 W · 1,402 L | +40.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Hijikata | 39c | 153.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hijikata | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Hijikata | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Lehecka | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Lehecka | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Lehecka | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hijikata | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Hijikata | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hijikata | 33c | 88.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 2,442 | 50.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L | +83.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Hijikata | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…f46fbacked Lehecka | 69c | 74.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hijikata | 49c | 60.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Hijikata | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lehecka | 47c | 46.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2,445 | 51.6%1,262 W · 1,183 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Hijikata | 52c | 39.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hijikata | 50c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Lehecka | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lehecka | 46c | 32.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Hijikata | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Hijikata | 49c | 21.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Lehecka | 51c | 20.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)this page
- HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri LeheckaRinky Hijikata won
- Hijikata vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Rinky Hijikata vs. Jiri Lehecka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs LeheckaLehecka won
- Set 2 Winner: Hijikata vs LeheckaHijikata won
- Set Handicap: Hijikata (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.