Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe28714396c63822d0c1293f2aad16aaca02a143a32f20b71fd7fb58f078d6602

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $227,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $231,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,685 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1341…0853backed No	64c	42,784$27,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,564.89	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed Yes	41c	23,662$9,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,658.83	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes	38c	17,762$6,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,672.92	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes	36c	16,600$5,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,975.94	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked Yes	37c	16,600$6,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,129.61	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	63c	15,000$9,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,549.98	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No	66c	14,822$9,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,073.57	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Yes	37c	7,402$2,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,732.71	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	62c	6,024$3,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.93	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed No	55c	5,338$2,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,402.28	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Yes	38c	5,156$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,942.74	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed No	62c	4,700$2,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,786	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	41c	4,220$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.13	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed No	62c	3,500$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…049fbacked No	57c	3,469$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.53	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	32c	3,223$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.58	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2818…5369backed No	63c	2,628$1,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	59c	2,500$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.98	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	42c	2,465$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.86	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	44c	2,265$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	66c	2,200$1,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.48	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	35c	2,111$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.77	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes	34c	2,001$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.07	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked No	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.99	69	58%40 W · 29 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes	35c	1,996$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.69	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes	35c	1,924$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.76	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	64c	1,815$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.78	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	32c	1,803$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.54	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	39c	1,423$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.38	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,306$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.31	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	64c	1,261$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.85	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	32c	1,254$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.87	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	63c	1,236$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.86	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	70c	1,160$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	14c	1,158$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.7	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed No	69c	1,142$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.02	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	53c	1,140$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Yes	45c	1,128$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.03	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	43c	1,121$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.63	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	37c	1,050$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.51	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	41c	1,008$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.78	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0817…f6e2backed No	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed No	56c	999.97$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.99	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No	62c	982.99$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.7	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	66c	948.94$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.57	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes	44c	900$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No	56c	900$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	63c	870.53$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.53	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a6…5cdcbacked Yes	35c	857.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	51c	853.92$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.29	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed No	65c	830$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.5	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	37c	785$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.45	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes	32c	777$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.64	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Yes	35c	677.78$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	129	27.1%35 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	66c	672.06$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.53	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No	66c	652.08$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.95	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	66c	641.38$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.86	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked No	56c	600$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	36c	600$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	36c	585.94$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.77	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed No	63c	581.43$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.13	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	34c	566.56$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.63	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No	68c	558.99$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.47	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	45c	544.98$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.63	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No	66c	506$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.5	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed No	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de6…d900backed No	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e9…e288backed No	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No	62c	492.84$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.5	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…ac75backed Yes	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6f…0244backed No	68c	450.06$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.02	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	66c	450$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed No	60c	450$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed No	65c	427.99$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.8	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	65c	407$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.87	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	65c	400$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.18	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x938d…19fcbacked No	49c	378$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.75	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Yes	41c	336.43$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.8	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	63c	333.33$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.79	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	67c	331$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.85	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed No	63c	326.93$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.96	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	42c	317.06$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.16	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes	37c	310$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.7	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	64c	300$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.78	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…616dbacked No	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	36c	299.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.99	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No	63c	291.62$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.9	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No	68c	291.48$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Yes	37c	290.43$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.76	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x121c…395abacked No	69c	289.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.86	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+4.6wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f37…bcd3backed Yes	37c	284.59$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.45	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d7…5013backed No	69c	282.37$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.37	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	64c	280$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	37c	277.3$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	62c	248$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.68	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked No	57c	240.84$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.56	210	42.4%89 W · 121 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8177…11cbbacked No	68c	237$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.84	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event