Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0d63027b98472e48bacae3726cb9cd1929f0c31f91a791b6d5e773b390a3238

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $175,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $170,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x576f…ed2cbacked No	6c	19,540$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.73	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No	6c	17,409$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.33	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	2c	6,490$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.44	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No	13c	5,157$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.05	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	3c	4,131$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.13	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed No	4c	2,656$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.41	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	15cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No	2c	2,500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	7c	2,453$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	4c	2,442$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.01	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	8c	2,436$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.15	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa641…0866backed No	5c	2,200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed No	5c	2,199$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.35	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	5c	2,092$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.04	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked No	9c	1,900$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.5	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	5c	1,663$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.72	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No	5c	1,663$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.89	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked No	7c	1,603$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.84	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	5c	1,503$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.15	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	2c	1,419$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked No	10c	1,274$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	3c	1,240$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	2c	1,069$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No	6c	1,029$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.47	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2048…b9e9backed No	5c	1,021$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f03…1794backed No	5c	1,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91b…fb62backed No	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed No	5c	958.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed No	7c	939.61$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea4…bb6cbacked No	6c	924.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa282…8700backed No	13c	743.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f25…fd35backed No	4c	731.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No	7c	619.92$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.25	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1499…6690backed No	6c	618.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	5c	592.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	5c	582.27$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.26	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffe…4071backed No	6c	571.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	5c	569.68$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	7c	563.23$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.61	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb670…4285backed No	9c	443.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e4…85c4backed No	10c	433.61$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca4…0473backed No	5c	389.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x009f…f7abbacked No	6c	356.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed No	7c	333$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked No	6c	323.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd497…c62fbacked No	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa136…9977backed No	5c	299.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-94.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked No	7c	298.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.58	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe67…3932backed No	5c	294.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385c…a385backed No	7c	294.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	5c	268.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd316…65d1backed No	9c	266.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No	4c	255$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	4c	250$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed No	5c	241.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddcf…cbf5backed No	8c	240.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No	5c	234.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	14c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x940c…61bebacked No	7c	191.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	9c	181.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa530…88f6backed No	11c	175$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d44…1d7cbacked No	15c	162.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf533…94cfbacked No	11c	155.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	25c	150$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf966…bb42backed No	10c	149.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-7.0wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe061…dcc6backed No	13c	136$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	11c	91.89$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ee…150abacked No	14c	70$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event