Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2fcce9165ac160807304db5dc0ec730dfd6d17c02a23c0dafce10a471833725

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $430,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $449,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	69c	42,345$29,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,203.53	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	1c	17,590$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.83	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	77c	15,083$11,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,414.06	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x984b…867abacked Yes	75c	14,258$10,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,693.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.2wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	73c	12,596$9,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,185.56	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+11.1wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	60c	12,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd189…06f4backed No	49c	11,000$5,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,625.19	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	29c	6,830$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,832.58	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7954…6d54backed No	60c	6,827$4,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,762.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+68%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd2…1b21backed No	25c	6,435$1,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,838.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes	75c	6,000$4,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,512	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	36c	5,775$2,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,701.46	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed Yes	75c	5,000$3,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,774.72	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed Yes	43c	4,668$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0f…28cebacked No	49c	4,500$2,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,286	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes	42c	4,485$1,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,865	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cd…a7b1backed No	48c	4,206$2,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,196.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	48c	4,171$2,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,162.57	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba76…e0d7backed No	26c	4,136$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060.95	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No	24c	3,446$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,620.21	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	68c	3,417$2,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.99	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	72c	3,361$2,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,422.64	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	34c	3,234$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,144.11	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	62c	3,200$1,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,977.93	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x939e…0a64backed No	22c	3,116$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,418.32	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed No	47c	2,986$1,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.27	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked No	34c	2,981$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,981	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…74e8backed No	25c	2,751$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063.25	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed No	24c	2,664$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No	25c	2,642$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,974.04	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	55c	2,589$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,413.29	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No	39c	2,540$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,540.31	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	31c	2,459$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.44	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd58d…bf26backed No	32c	2,406$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,642.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+215.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked No	25c	2,402$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,801.95	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	67c	2,390$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,598.46	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Yes	67c	2,321$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.51	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	8c	2,294$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,107.63	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes	41c	2,263$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	71c	2,250$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.58	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed No	37c	2,098$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,314.44	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes	60c	1,996$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.38	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked No	49c	1,965$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005.94	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes	55c	1,878$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.33	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	52c	1,775$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.66	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked No	54c	1,746$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.95	124	43.5%54 W · 70 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	49c	1,616$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.85	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed No	50c	1,573$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.25	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes	42c	1,563$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	44c	1,548$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.59	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked No	26c	1,536$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.36	165	38.2%63 W · 102 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	21c	1,525$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,202.96	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No	25c	1,524$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.89	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x78bd…6f69backed Yes	72c	1,507$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.89	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	41c	1,453$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.15	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…3fbfbacked No	40c	1,417$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.61	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	10cpaid	+287.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	54c	1,390$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.11	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	62c	1,348$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.85	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	26c	1,271$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.14	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	38c	1,251$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.2	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes	42c	1,192$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes	60c	1,171$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.98	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	61c	1,110$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.75	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed No	44c	1,108$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.05	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe3cf…9dc0backed No	26c	1,088$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.16	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No	24c	1,064$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.23	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	67c	1,036$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.97	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked No	36c	1,000$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed No	26c	1,000$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…f8a8backed No	25c	1,000$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	57c	961.19$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.99	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked No	26c	957.72$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.72	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed No	42c	957.17$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.19	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	74c	923.06$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.98	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	24c	918.3$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.54	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ac…6d71backed Yes	75c	851.52$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.94	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No	45c	850$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.23	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	74c	845.94$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.73	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa429…368abacked Yes	74c	800$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0020…4ee3backed No	29c	792.7$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+139.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c79…50c4backed No	49c	774.27$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.33	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-73%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed No	52c	771.7$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.7	132	23.5%31 W · 101 L	-9.2wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	50c	771.67$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.93	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee99…3ccdbacked No	22c	761.31$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.31	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No	32c	746$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.77	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed No	26c	735.86$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.86	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes	79c	724.84$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.01	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes	25c	723$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.1	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb850…7597backed No	2c	691$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.29	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	2cpaid	+370.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	40c	684.81$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.79	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked No	16c	660$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.02	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4422…5362backed No	43c	613.76$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.25	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	52c	567.09$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.22	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	37c	550$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.87	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	56c	545.08$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.54	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc46d…87d9backed Yes	2c	537.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f42…6fcbbacked No	49c	531.47$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.85	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed No	72c	524.46$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.46	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	57c	518.85$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.31	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe67c…c0fabacked No	39c	516.8$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.8	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event