Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73f6028060ff88ff0369307f2c45dde79a5e7d7c437c4987638def21d065bac7

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $558,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $588,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,379 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1341…0853backed Yes	71c	33,287$23,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,525.73	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	49c	19,067$9,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,264.09	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	1c	18,713$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.84	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3022…59c1backed Yes	71c	10,862$7,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,701.15	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed No	25c	10,731$2,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,052.43	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	79c	10,350$8,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,156.66	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes	4c	10,319$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.66	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No	32c	10,100$3,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,828.05	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	56c	9,372$5,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,106.14	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	54c	7,487$4,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,036.75	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed No	33c	7,000$2,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,691.92	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b40…2f6abacked No	17c	6,622$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,480.22	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	23c	6,554$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,076.42	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf678…a255backed No	22c	6,208$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,845.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	31cpaid	+100.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9317…a9fcbacked Yes	0c	5,604$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	31c	5,487$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.31	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…3da8backed Yes	1c	5,305$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	15c	5,176$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.91	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No	28c	5,071$1,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,652.13	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	10c	5,035$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.29	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	4c	4,658$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	18c	4,321$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,543.22	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	37c	4,207$1,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,634.91	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	73c	4,021$2,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,930.73	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes	28c	3,567$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	38c	3,450$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.92	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe157…4f0ebacked Yes	74c	3,268$2,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,413.95	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No	75c	3,194$2,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.68	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	30c	3,077$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,153.87	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed No	33c	3,031$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,031.47	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed Yes	72c	3,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	72c	2,999$2,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,157.27	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	54c	2,896$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.77	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked No	25c	2,788$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,088.46	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed No	29c	2,681$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,903.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb52…f12ebacked Yes	0c	2,675$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	2c	2,595$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	23c	2,568$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,970.44	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	72c	2,533$1,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.69	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+11.1wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	50c	2,510$1,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.88	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked No	75c	2,400$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x771a…6be6backed No	19c	2,375$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,923.85	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+216.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	23c	2,137$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.83	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	24c	2,132$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,629.85	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	24c	2,083$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,583.33	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	25c	2,038$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,537.77	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb854…a75dbacked No	32c	1,990$632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.5	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	34c	1,979$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.23	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…67f2backed No	19c	1,949$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,578.97	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.29per pick	28cpaid	+131%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea2…6cb0backed Yes	1c	1,945$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes	72c	1,944$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea2…d1c1backed Yes	1c	1,865$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x748a…3c56backed No	21c	1,805$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.98	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	24c	1,765$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,336.52	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	6c	1,748$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.79	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked No	61c	1,689$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.15	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	21c	1,600$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,264	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No	30c	1,561$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.23	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff4e…63e0backed Yes	76c	1,535$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.38	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,507$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.2	218	50%109 W · 109 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	1,490$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.45	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	76c	1,437$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.65	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No	66c	1,417$929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.7	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	54c	1,367$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.4	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	59c	1,362$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.79	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No	25c	1,350$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.13	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed No	33c	1,322$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.65	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+51%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce8…ff78backed Yes	77c	1,296$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a0…6562backed No	22c	1,206$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.84	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No	34c	1,200$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	5c	1,200$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa338…bcafbacked No	24c	1,158$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.99	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	54c	1,138$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.32	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbb…596abacked Yes	3c	1,126$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed No	74c	1,083$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.62	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed No	39c	1,060$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.81	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	17c	1,058$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.01	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…4deabacked Yes	4c	1,050$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	68c	1,042$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.3	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	28c	1,013$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.45	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	69c	1,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe67c…c0fabacked No	31c	954.63$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.63	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed No	58c	946.98$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.1	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked No	22c	929.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.6	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	18c	920.28$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.63	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	26c	910.61$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670.26	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	60c	881.98$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.12	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Yes	78c	878$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.84	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No	23c	863.67$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.41	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes	70c	852.98$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Yes	1c	848.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	80c	830.03$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.01	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	75c	826.84$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.45	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	24c	826.77$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.88	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Yes	4c	821.42$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	69c	779.19$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.64	169	65.1%110 W · 59 L	+14.6wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No	31c	774.19$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.19	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes	14c	769.14$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.84	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event