Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d7512f30ec5b01e8194cf42457a041ca9bf675e4f58b32edcde8b3c431d18a

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $171,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $172,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8372…5223backed No	68c	26,259$17,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,331.59	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0835…0e07backed No	69c	18,549$12,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,794.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	31c	17,224$5,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,267.25	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No	69c	10,780$7,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,313.06	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	12c	7,650$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.9	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	8c	7,514$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.29	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes	30c	6,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	30c	3,486$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.4	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes	31c	3,290$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Yes	32c	3,200$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	7c	3,100$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked No	69c	2,970$2,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.7	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes	30c	2,350$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	37c	1,980$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.31	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe157…4f0ebacked No	70c	1,976$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.94	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	31c	1,900$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Yes	31c	1,894$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.14	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Yes	32c	1,600$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Yes	32c	1,472$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.04	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	78c	1,429$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.4	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Yes	32c	1,400$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	28c	1,346$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.89	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	71c	1,323$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.54	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	70c	1,304$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.29	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	66c	1,231$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.7	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	5c	1,200$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Yes	32c	1,200$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	7c	1,198$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.28	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	80c	1,197$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.38	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	63c	1,196$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.2	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes	31c	1,048$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.76	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	69c	1,000$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes	31c	999.99$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	6c	904$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.24	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Yes	32c	800$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Yes	32c	800$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	65c	799.99$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Yes	32c	791.82$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.58	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed No	68c	735.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.29	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5084…7cf2backed No	69c	724.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.64	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed No	70c	714.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.29	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed No	70c	714.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.29	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	32c	671.88$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	38c	670$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.83	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…8dc7backed Yes	33c	662.12$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.4	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	31c	662$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.22	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	53c	646.83$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.79	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes	32c	625$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Yes	32c	600$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Yes	32c	600$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	31c	592.05$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.53	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93d…f36dbacked No	69c	580$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No	67c	576.11$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.92	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	60c	575.79$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.78	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fa…4bc1backed No	70c	571.43$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.43	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed Yes	5c	549$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Yes	76c	542.94$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	240	46.3%111 W · 129 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Yes	32c	520$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.4	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	27c	500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.1	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No	70c	493.57$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.37	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed Yes	8c	483.59$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Yes	32c	480$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.6	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Yes	31c	471.35$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.12	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	8c	445$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked No	68c	439.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.57	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3fd…dc2abacked No	69c	436.28$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.28	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	21c	413.37$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.45	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No	70c	403.19$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.59	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked No	69c	400.93$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.04	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Yes	32c	400$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	60c	392.96$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.25	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e50…8d90backed No	70c	379$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.21	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6f…0244backed Yes	20c	373.15$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.93	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes	6c	366.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	66c	365$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.1	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	36c	359.23$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.2	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	9c	352.32$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	29c	352$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.76	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	6c	349.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.98	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af2…96a5backed Yes	6c	339.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	30c	335$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	15c	331.21$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.74	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd82…2d20backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b8…8927backed No	69c	318.84$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.84	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes	32c	315.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	345	24.1%83 W · 262 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Yes	32c	312$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Yes	32c	312$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…3da8backed Yes	6c	309.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	68c	303.06$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.63	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	8c	302.87$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa741…8d0ebacked No	69c	300.01$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.75	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	40c	285.98$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.59	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed No	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event