Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf75a1084ea00a19ec34957397ea4d0a33258395ba6b50a2d4186ee0f77910c25

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $181,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $178,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,542 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	30c	13,022$3,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,895.59	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed No	58c	8,534$4,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,951.32	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes	29c	8,500$2,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,034.9	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes	44c	7,265$3,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,097.49	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	48c	6,483$3,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,386.03	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	39c	6,112$2,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,355.61	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	45c	5,980$2,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,310.89	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	66c	5,323$3,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,798.14	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	43c	5,190$2,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,958.37	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked No	71c	4,500$3,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,195	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No	57c	4,339$2,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,489.49	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed No	58c	3,924$2,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,256.65	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	69c	2,997$2,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.23	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	62c	2,575$1,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.67	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	44c	2,392$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.1	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed No	55c	2,000$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.99	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	38cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	45c	1,942$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.66	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	33c	1,871$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.31	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed No	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	29c	1,739$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.2	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	64c	1,694$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.16	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	56c	1,600$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd1…d384backed No	57c	1,500$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.03	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	42c	1,500$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.97	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	65c	1,485$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.52	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Yes	30c	1,400$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.98	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No	75c	1,340$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	70c	1,200$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39ec…06d3backed Yes	45c	1,118$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.26	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	32c	1,106$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	61c	1,082$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.46	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	66c	1,081$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.86	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed Yes	69c	1,080$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.79	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed No	29c	1,045$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.24	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	43c	1,026$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.76	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	29c	1,000$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed No	61c	987.56$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	39c	978.63$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.87	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes	62c	965.15$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.66	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	55c	963.85$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.91	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…8fdcbacked Yes	31c	932.14$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+220.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641b…b94abacked Yes	44c	897.64$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.68	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked No	57c	877.28$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	69c	855$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.05	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	25c	853.34$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	42c	849.8$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.68	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	29c	835.61$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.85	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	66c	812.78$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…fd4abacked No	69c	800$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	26c	796.26$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.24	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	34c	789.85$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.55	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x225f…5978backed No	66c	782.56$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.25	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Yes	69c	726.45$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.06	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	68c	720.77$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.24	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed No	70c	714.29$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked No	47c	697.35$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.16	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+38%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes	70c	645.39$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.53	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed No	55c	631.2$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…f36dbacked No	61c	580.63$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.13	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	64c	574.58$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.83	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes	69c	563.39$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.65	107	54.2%58 W · 49 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No	31c	558.84$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.24	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked No	36c	512.56$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.52	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	68c	501.99$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.74	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	71c	500$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	71c	500$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	59c	500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed No	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	70c	448.21$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.67	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes	69c	437.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.57	133	72.9%97 W · 36 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	69c	434.78$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.78	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed No	70c	428.57$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked No	59c	425.68$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf1…c9b1backed No	61c	409.84$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d8…9fd0backed No	31c	399.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+125.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaac4…efa0backed Yes	68c	395.97$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No	57c	391.41$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.93	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	31c	360.76$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.23	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	21c	352.39$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	10c	352$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes	46c	350$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Yes	43c	348.84$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.84	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed No	58c	344.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…d559backed No	58c	344$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.52	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed No	59c	340.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…c464backed No	59c	340.39$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	60%9 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf99…6a48backed No	52c	339.79$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.99	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	34c	335$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.69	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked No	60c	330.15$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.79	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb30e…1d03backed Yes	42c	328.57$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+102.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed No	58c	326.6$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.43	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	47c	324$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.41	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…23c4backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e4…2bd2backed No	55c	322.4$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	31c	320.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.31	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f37…bcd3backed Yes	31c	320$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.8	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	33c	313.01$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.7	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	34c	311.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.2	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c0…563bbacked No	70c	305.72$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event