Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafadf181195da28073877849e2a4601a2f4a99371bf94e24e8a6380c7baa072

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $98,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,199 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4b59…3aa6backed No	13c	5,801$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,046.82	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	34c	4,546$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,546.85	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3701…1b5ebacked No	66c	4,440$2,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	61c	3,613$2,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,194.59	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed No	66c	3,357$2,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.01	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	36c	3,349$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,145.68	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	61c	3,118$1,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,209.51	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	33c	2,888$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.24	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	43c	2,500$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.36	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No	64c	2,096$1,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.53	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No	67c	2,064$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.16	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f25…fd35backed No	15c	1,682$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	63c	1,675$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.65	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b9…e006backed Yes	36c	1,652$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.39	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed No	64c	1,563$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.5	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+7.5wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	36c	1,500$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No	70c	1,362$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.48	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	35c	1,360$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.43	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	55c	1,358$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.34	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	19c	1,331$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,078.22	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	34c	1,285$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.25	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed No	64c	1,245$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.19	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	13c	1,244$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.5	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	63c	1,183$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.62	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	39c	1,148$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.11	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	12c	1,140$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.2	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes	64c	1,108$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.02	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	16c	1,083$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.08	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	35c	1,017$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.59	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	12c	1,000$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed No	65c	964.62$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.62	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	52c	959$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.36	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	64c	910$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.6	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	70c	905.67$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.41	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	53c	899.97$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.99	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	79c	892.56$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.49	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	34c	872.88$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	40c	858.88$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.09	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	5c	813$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No	68c	740.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.45	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	48c	649.43$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.35	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes	78c	641.03$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	64c	622.73$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.85	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No	67c	550$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.86	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	58c	511.5$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.38	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0514…9b2ebacked Yes	34c	504.21$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.43	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	46c	502.28$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.9	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	65c	499.99$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed No	79c	499.98$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	64c	499.59$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.52	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed No	13c	450.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.34	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	47c	441.5$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.07	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed No	12c	430$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	36c	404.55$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.64	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	404.25$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed Yes	51c	394.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ba…f82cbacked Yes	36c	364.47$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	31c	324.88$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.44	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b4…7e30backed Yes	37c	324.32$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe4…5187backed Yes	78c	320.51$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed No	64c	320$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.2	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8ab…9652backed Yes	37c	305$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.85	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	33c	304.73$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.56	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked No	65c	300$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a64…51d1backed Yes	76c	300$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Yes	35c	288.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	46.5%72 W · 83 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	35c	285.8$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.18	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No	14c	281.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.51	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8177…11cbbacked Yes	37c	280$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	37c	276$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.62	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	21c	270.79$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.81	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked No	64c	256.25$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.25	206	54.4%112 W · 94 L	+13.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed No	14c	255$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.3	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed Yes	80c	251.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…8a6abacked Yes	16c	228.85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	11c	226.97$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	10c	222.22$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	42c	214.2$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.82	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa3…27e4backed Yes	78c	212$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3003…efa3backed No	67c	208.96$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.96	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	35c	205$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	13c	200$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	-11.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes	34c	200$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	85	25.9%22 W · 63 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	64c	192$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.12	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	65c	190.88$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.81	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	36c	189.57$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.92	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	25c	178.94$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.59	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	62c	162.57$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79c…18a1backed No	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked No	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed No	65c	151.4$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.99	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes	20c	148.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes	69c	144.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.8	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…0be0backed Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	44c	130$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.5	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	12c	129.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.51	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…974ebacked No	33c	127.27$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.27	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event