Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e91380150cd0739da220168cfc99a129a7b6f7dd89e28ae48ae60e5749ca699

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $569,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $611,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,589 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8658…f20fbacked No	0c	45,750$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked No	1c	24,487$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.43	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked No	0c	22,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	30	10%3 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	1c	18,766$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.37	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	13c	18,354$2,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,357.94	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…ed2cbacked No	0c	18,240$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.48	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked No	0c	14,128$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	0c	13,135$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.21	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed No	17c	10,796$1,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bc…e269backed No	1c	10,077$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.99	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed No	0c	9,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	213	34.3%73 W · 140 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fd…6a89backed Yes	80c	6,501$5,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.17	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	17c	5,582$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.79	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	1c	5,517$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.24	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88d…3db1backed No	1c	5,250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed No	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	16c	4,683$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.22	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	18c	3,417$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.09	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	15c	3,308$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.47	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb563…ddbbbacked No	2c	3,003$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42fa…1fc7backed Yes	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac12…7f97backed No	20c	2,460$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.61	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	13c	2,280$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.4	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	1c	2,225$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed No	2c	2,142$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe617…f251backed Yes	79c	1,899$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.73	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+93.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	21c	1,880$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.81	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	79c	1,577$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.33	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	12c	1,419$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.25	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c88…8570backed No	10c	1,259$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	166	55.4%92 W · 74 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	1c	1,200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	12c	1,121$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.04	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked No	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	12c	975.92$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.29	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	12c	901.7$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	5c	870.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.69	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked No	14c	800$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa641…0866backed Yes	80c	753.28$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.28	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	79c	737.04$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.32	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68d…095dbacked No	15c	675.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No	13c	666.48$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.39	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	13c	518.16$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.91	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…9688backed No	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd4…ad53backed Yes	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	20c	494.85$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.97	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x97e4…85c4backed No	5c	483.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	13c	469.45$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.03	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	19c	457.34$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.27	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	15c	428.66$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.3	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	40c	428$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.2	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed No	39c	416$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.15	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked Yes	79c	400$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	13c	399.98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No	20c	326.17$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.77	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked No	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	21c	299.98$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes	79c	299.96$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.99	99	25.3%25 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e58…0d4dbacked Yes	78c	299.94$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	14c	290$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.9	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	17c	268.62$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.39	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes	79c	253.65$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.27	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdf…3dd0backed No	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked Yes	79c	241.77$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	7c	237.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938d…19fcbacked No	24c	232$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.68	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	10c	218.22$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2534…0099backed No	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d5…ca1cbacked No	25c	202$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f09…76e4backed Yes	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+131.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed No	12c	199.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae8…8c95backed Yes	76c	199.99$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	21c	199.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	15c	195.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No	22c	194.09$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed No	22c	190$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	155	50.3%78 W · 77 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	14c	188.95$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.45	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	60c	178$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.2	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0015…d5b0backed Yes	78c	150$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1d…4fe9backed No	20c	145$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed No	16c	143.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.01	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e50…8d90backed No	14c	139$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…8d79backed No	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f0…f925backed No	18c	135$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3d…59a0backed No	23c	134.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb3…dd2dbacked No	17c	133.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x311e…62a8backed No	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b7…ed79backed No	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	133	72.9%97 W · 36 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3d…6542backed Yes	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed Yes	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event