Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad7d53bc2a42daa2b9625eebf9651fd3aac1286078697182a3d1dc3bbd70173

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $199,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $213,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,435 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	6c	12,651$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.03	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	13c	8,070$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.15	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	1c	6,933$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.33	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No	15c	6,500$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.24	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa338…bcafbacked No	7c	3,733$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.28	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	7c	3,499$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.64	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	6c	3,068$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.52	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	9c	2,710$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.22	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	8c	2,437$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.19	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No	6c	2,421$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.55	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	1c	2,375$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf206…cd50backed No	0c	2,020$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No	4c	2,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	6c	1,934$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.07	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed No	7c	1,585$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.33	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	4c	1,528$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.85	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x938d…19fcbacked No	9c	910$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.22	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	4c	703.22$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No	14c	699.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed No	11c	641.69$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bd8…4313backed No	18c	528.46$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No	10c	444.45$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63b4…7e30backed No	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2946…8eb4backed No	8c	375.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3923…c9b3backed No	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	6c	314.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed No	6c	283.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf371…fd71backed No	18c	275.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed No	14c	272.08$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	155	50.3%78 W · 77 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	9c	263.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	5c	250$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	34c	250$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	14c	249.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	10c	237.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	6c	230.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa136…9977backed No	7c	220$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-94.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed No	26c	214.17$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.25	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed No	5c	210$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes	72c	200$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed No	15c	194.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No	14c	187.14$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb0…766abacked No	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x27c4…65ffbacked No	16c	128.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9559…4913backed No	18c	111.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes	70c	103.47$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	10c	103.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a63…2eb3backed No	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	13c	91.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	13c	89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	70c	64.17$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event