Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601d0d0b6e93e27832d2ecf4482e4fe9fed604cd0a29e7962b09a1d764fb4250

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $87,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,000 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,299.96	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb3…5adfbacked No	63c	7,858$4,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,942.31	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	25c	4,729$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,549.69	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	60c	3,800$2,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,267.72	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb854…a75dbacked Yes	77c	3,123$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.79	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	16c	2,941$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,472.31	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	17c	2,865$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,364.75	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	27c	2,570$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,875.81	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	16c	2,281$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.13	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed No	1c	1,965$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	17c	1,964$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,630.79	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	38c	1,714$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.49	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No	64c	1,600$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	17c	1,483$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.39	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3069…83cdbacked Yes	19c	1,403$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.86	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	16c	1,236$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.82	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No	63c	1,167$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.83	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	37c	1,134$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.75	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	65c	1,032$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.77	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	79c	965.44$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.8	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked Yes	35c	899.99$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	59c	895.52$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.57	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	11c	664.51$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.41	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	17c	656.54$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.24	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked No	60c	600$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes	24c	577.94$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.28	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No	69c	559.17$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.67	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	65c	556.19$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.57	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	9c	549.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	17c	515.54$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.03	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	18c	488.32$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.82	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	41c	440.99$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.99	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	26c	435.68$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.31	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	34c	420.12$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.4	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	21c	419.78$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.73	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes	16c	415$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.4	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Yes	17c	399.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.99	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	80c	399.96$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.97	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	16c	343.53$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.1	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked No	62c	322.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	64c	319.39$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.44	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	31c	316.39$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.42	259	54.8%142 W · 117 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	36c	315$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.01	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.5	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	61c	311.33$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.12	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcacd…9845backed Yes	38c	295.05$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.95	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce07…18e5backed No	63c	292.63$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee99…3ccdbacked Yes	38c	282.85$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.94	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed Yes	18c	280.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.03	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Yes	18c	271.67$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.77	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	38c	257.5$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.65	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c56…9f4bbacked Yes	16c	253.13$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.12	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	40c	246$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.9	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	13c	245$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.15	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	45c	244.63$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.37	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a180backed No	77c	241.03$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.7	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes	36c	211.05$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.07	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	65c	202.9$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.52	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	19c	200$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	16c	200$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaefd…ae0abacked Yes	19c	200$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes	38c	199.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.99	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Yes	28c	199.97$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.98	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Yes	38c	197.99$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.75	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	44c	196$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.19	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes	70c	164.52$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.07	133	72.9%97 W · 36 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes	18c	161.54$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.16	128	42.2%54 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…8efebacked No	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	17c	160$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.6	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	62c	160$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e6…29c7backed No	62c	160$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b9…d5ffbacked No	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	76c	155.25$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.53	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No	61c	150$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes	37c	150$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff6…6b4dbacked Yes	13c	147.9$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	16cpaid	+140.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	15c	144.7$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.63	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63b5…d5a4backed Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.89	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…9fa9backed Yes	19c	133.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.08	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	79c	121.53$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.01	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	12c	120$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.6	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No	29c	115.39$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.46	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	79c	114.61$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.04	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4402…d22abacked No	66c	112.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.52	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…62b1backed No	63c	111.16$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Yes	38c	106$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.72	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed Yes	39c	102.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…d40fbacked Yes	39c	101.86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.13	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes	38c	101.55$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.99	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes	38c	101$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.62	156	55.8%87 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	65	78.5%51 W · 14 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f0a…46a4backed No	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	85	25.9%22 W · 63 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29fd…5d70backed Yes	16c	95.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.82	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	19c	91.85$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.45	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8a…7d9cbacked No	62c	90.24$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.17	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e56…c1abbacked No	62c	80.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event