TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes7c16,481$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.9313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80013331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes2c9,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22555044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.987337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes38c5,200$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.961850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed No62c4,293$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No66c3,727$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.6342640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.819838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8113953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No62c3,200$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21636250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ae…0c5cbacked Yes1c2,049$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8960%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dac…d62bbacked No62c2,023$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes21c1,915$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0219929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ce…651dbacked No62c1,782$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.511010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-83.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes8c1,636$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8822834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No62c1,600$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No65c1,500$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.526940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No62c1,400$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No61c1,368$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.062,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Yes9c1,338$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.14200%0 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes28c1,323$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes7c1,257$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes8c1,204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes7c929.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.717828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed Yes10c927.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.724216.7%7 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes4c874.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8845736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes36c820.62$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4218848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30439050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes36c784.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.640649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No64c781.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7514245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5084…7cf2backed No65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.233070%21 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c768.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No68c768.21$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1730344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes37c758.7$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1734151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No61c652.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.352532%8 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No72c642.47$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.962,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Yes39c641.69$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.381850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No62c640$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes14c615$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8312744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22835352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes9c576.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2623644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4266…5305backed No62c550$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed No64c550$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No62c542.71$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2338451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes7c523.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.021266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No62c520$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.639951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes36c500$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18227939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954122%9 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No61c499.59$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8415448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes39c495.58$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.915026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab39…c22fbacked No66c487$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.58333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No62c480$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.440848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes38c450.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.528547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5344…7dc1backed Yes5c425$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa741…8d0ebacked No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes6c400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15237051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b2…bdf0backed Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-88.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked No66c380.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.863063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes37c369.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.98844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No63c338.41$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.212365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes4c337.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.516720.9%14 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes7c323.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.673622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed No62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.584740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No62c312$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5634851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1499…6690backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743d…f77ebacked No77c299.9$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4610100%10 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5426…bb98backed No68c296.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked No68c294.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9312349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed No64c279.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.814238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes40c250.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014738.1%56 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No66c243.37$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3725160.6%152 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed No62c242.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.154647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked No65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.772944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…7865backed No62c218$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.841225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes36c209.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3134554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes12c208.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.717799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…a074backed No64c204.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.695858.6%34 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7624043.3%104 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7633653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7637753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7634351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf72…2a2cbacked Yes7c198.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.932634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes34c198.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Yes33c195$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No68c193.74$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8935033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…cb5ebacked No61c179.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe816…b904backed No61c178.94$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.731926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No66c163$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5620652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e6…29c7backed No61c161.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94e2…2b22backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe871…8ae7backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293450%17 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.