TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf72…2a2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+792.9%+$168.72
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$159.39
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.33
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$18.99
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$237
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.26
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.94
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$27.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+172.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+146.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$44.4
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$85.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.