Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485209edcaee56a49c9cfaf439901401f4b47d1a2c1d95ddf750ce2036018db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 71c | 2,182$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.88 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,094$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.21 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 18c | 859.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 78c | 773.74$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 34c | 670.66$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Yes | 39c | 475.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…5710backed Yes | 20c | 465.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 18c | 432.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 394.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 10c | 221$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 85 | 9.4%8 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 25c | 218.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 214.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 36c | 213.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 62c | 197.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 195.13$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 21c | 188.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 186.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 42c | 171.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 23c | 168$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 166.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 165.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 164.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 17c | 151.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 30c | 147.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 25c | 139.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 22c | 138.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 31c | 138.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 136.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 25c | 134.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 17c | 125.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 120.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 16c | 112.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 22c | 112.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 63c | 111.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 78c | 110.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 80c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 102.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 19c | 97.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…2a2cbacked No | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 86.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…7cffbacked Yes | 16c | 82.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 35c | 82.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 75.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 22c | 75.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 17c | 75.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 63c | 71.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed Yes | 16c | 67.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 62.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…ef73backed Yes | 19c | 62.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 29c | 58.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 21c | 57.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 23c | 54.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 37c | 50.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 46.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 79c | 45.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Yes | 42c | 42.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 59c | 37.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 79c | 35.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 77c | 34.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 36c | 32.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 68c | 30.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 77c | 22.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 59c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 20.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…eb2bbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 58c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed No | 72c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 79c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.