Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe27183f407f468fc36a43a193f3004bb24679f46b0a15efb210197876e8551a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 63c | 781.47$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.57 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 8c | 342.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 71c | 233.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 218.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 48c | 218.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 191.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2e…e75ebacked Yes | 75c | 185.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 33c | 178.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 40c | 168.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…ef73backed Yes | 56c | 150.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 56c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 58c | 147.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 141.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 51c | 138.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 117.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 60c | 114.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 21c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 75c | 110.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 32c | 109.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 80c | 108.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…ee85backed Yes | 79c | 106.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 48c | 95.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 52c | 94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 58c | 83.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 36c | 82.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 32c | 65.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 76c | 59.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 42c | 59.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 31c | 55.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 70c | 54.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 45c | 52.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…c954backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…4171backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked No | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 60c | 47.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 42c | 47.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 45.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 57c | 42.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 43c | 42.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 54c | 37.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…eb2bbacked No | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…14c2backed Yes | 67c | 37.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 64c | 36.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 77c | 35.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 43c | 33.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 29.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…4183backed No | 38c | 26.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 42c | 25.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 63c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ea02backed Yes | 66c | 24.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 78c | 21.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…1334backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 71c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 73c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.