Fifa International · resolved market
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162d2ce4273b67d517d7a22f7d3d1e908a13ab5e5d3462ae19cdc45abd0e4cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 613.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 17c | 387$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 304.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 71c | 250.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 74c | 241$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…3e28backed Yes | 69c | 170.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 160.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 69c | 154.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…1464backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 74c | 125.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 29c | 94.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 78c | 87.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 85.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 67c | 79.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 78.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed No | 37c | 77.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked No | 17c | 74.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed No | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 69.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 28c | 61.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 33c | 53.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…2a2cbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…42a9backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…8d66backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…29d1backed Yes | 66c | 45.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 36.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 54c | 36.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 31c | 36.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 36.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 34c | 35.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…7a8bbacked Yes | 71c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…f7dabacked Yes | 67c | 22.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e9…7827backed Yes | 67c | 22.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…4d25backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…4a19backed Yes | 72c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Yes | 67c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Norway be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.