TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64a0…9d96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$12.37
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$10.6
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$68
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$63.38
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$35.29
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $10.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $12.0B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $225M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $7.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+556.7%+$131.63
Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$121.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 80,000 and 90,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Michael McCord be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Martin O'Donnell be the Republican nominee for NV-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will Susie Lee be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Terrill Robinson be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Zach Dembo be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$110.57
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$242.11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$30.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be less than $1.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$45.59
Will Micware's market cap be between $550M and $650M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+427.3%+$68.88
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$43.2
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.8
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$21.95
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.6
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.62
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$63.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$54.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.